Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Dollar eases ahead of US payrolls test

Published 05/09/2024, 10:40 am
Updated 06/09/2024, 05:53 am
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-

By Laura Matthews and Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK (Reuters) -The U.S. dollar eased against most major currencies on Thursday in choppy trading as investors braced for Friday's U.S. payrolls report, which could shape the path of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

The dollar has come under pressure in recent sessions as signs of slowing growth in the U.S. economy have lifted the chances of the Fed cutting rates with more urgency.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell last month endorsed an imminent start to interest rate cuts in a nod to concern over a softening in the labor market.

Data on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new applications for jobless benefits declined last week as layoffs remained low.

The report helped allay fears that the labor market was deteriorating, after data released in the previous session showed U.S. private jobs growth hitting a 3-1/2-years low in August.

Economists surveyed by Reuters expect an increase of 165,000 U.S. jobs in August, up from a rise of 114,000 in July.

"There's this looming sense that a downturn in the economy is coming, but these latest numbers don't show that," Adam Button, chief currency analyst, at Forexlive in Toronto, said.

"I think the market is flip-flopping between 25 and 50 basis points on every data point," Button said.

Markets are pricing in a 59% chance of a 25 basis points cut when the Fed meets on Sept. 17 and 18, with a 41% probability of a 50 bps cut, the CME FedWatch tool showed. In all, some 100 bps of cuts are priced for the year.

The euro was 0.2% higher against the dollar at $1.1106, a one-week high. The Dollar Index, which measures the U.S. currency's strength against six major peers, was 0.2% lower at 101.08.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar fell 0.3% to 143.35 yen, a one-month low. Safe haven demand and expectations for imminent rate hikes from the Bank of Japan have helped lift the Japanese currency in recent sessions.

The options market shows traders are preparing for potentially big moves in currencies on Friday. Overnight implied options volatility - a measure of demand for protection - is at its highest since the banking crisis of March 2023 for the euro and at its highest in a year for the yen.

The pound was 0.2% higher at $1.31715 on Thursday. The Bank of England meets in two weeks to set monetary policy. Right now, the derivatives market shows traders see very little chance of a rate cut this month, but a quarter-point cut is fully priced in for November.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The Australian dollar reversed earlier losses to trade up 0.1% on the day, drawing support from a still-hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia.

With investors avoiding riskier assets, cryptocurrencies slipped on Thursday. Bitcoin fell 2.6% to $56,510 and ether slipped about 2.8% to $2,387.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.