China's Economy Is Likely to Grow ‘Well Above’ Target in 2019: Jefferies

Published 11/04/2019, 02:00 pm
Updated 11/04/2019, 03:23 pm
© Bloomberg. The Oriental Pearl Tower, center left, Shanghai World Financial Center, center, and the Shanghai Tower, center right, stand among other buildings in the Lujiazui Financial District along the Pudong riverside in this aerial photograph taken above Shanghai, China, on Monday, April 2, 2018. China's sprawling local government financing system needs

(Bloomberg) -- China’s economy will likely grow far faster than the official target of 6 to 6.5 percent this year due to stronger fiscal stimulus including tax cuts and faster debt sales, according to analysts at Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

The pace of growth will normalize in 2020, Jefferies analysts, including Laban Yu, wrote in a report dated Wednesday.

While significant monetary easing may be less likely from here, growth momentum could push the stock market to test early 2018 highs, the analysts said. China’s economy has already shown signs of recovery, with a strong reading of manufacturing and improving risk appetite.

To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Yinan Zhao in Beijing at yzhao300@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Jeffrey Black at jblack25@bloomberg.net, Henry Hoenig

©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

© Bloomberg. The Oriental Pearl Tower, center left, Shanghai World Financial Center, center, and the Shanghai Tower, center right, stand among other buildings in the Lujiazui Financial District along the Pudong riverside in this aerial photograph taken above Shanghai, China, on Monday, April 2, 2018. China's sprawling local government financing system needs

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