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UPDATE 1-Australia's unemployment rate unexpectedly falls but virus risks build

Published 19/03/2020, 12:16 pm
© Reuters.
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By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, March 19 (Reuters) - Australia's unemployment rate surprisingly slipped in February though risks are surging as travel restrictions and lockdowns related to the coronavirus pandemic threatened to push the economy into recession.

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Thursday showed the jobless rate eased to 5.1% when economists were expecting 5.3%. A total of 26,700 new jobs were created in the month, more than the 10,000 expected.

The better-than-expected outcome did nothing to boost market sentiment as strained financial markets await further policy actions from governments and central banks.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which cut its cash rate to a record low 0.5% earlier this month citing the virus as a "significant" uncertainty, is likely to announce new stimulus measures later at 0330 GMT. expect it to cut interest rates to 0.25% and launch its first ever quantitative easing programme in a bid to prevent the country's first recession in nearly three decades.

The RBA has already signalled it would consider yield curve control (YCC) as part of its quantitative easing programme, where it would buy local government bonds to help keep risk-free rates low and stable. at major banks are still predicting a recession this year, which would take Australia's jobless rate to 6.5%-7.5%. The last time unemployment rose above 7.5% was in 1998.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison's government has also flagged further economic measures on top of the A$17 billion of fiscal stimulus already announced. ABS said there was "no notable impact" in Thursday's figures from the coronavirus or recent bushfires that had ravaged large swathes of the country late last year.

The hit to employment is only just felt as Australia's flag carrier Qantas QAN.AX became the country's first major company on Thursday to stand down about two thirds of its workforce. which suspended all international flights, is in talks with grocer Woolworths Group Ltd WOW.AX about redeploying some of its workers.

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