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Inflation Jumps to 4.1% in Canada, Jolting Trudeau Election Bid

Published 15/09/2021, 11:20 pm
© Reuters.

(Bloomberg) -- Inflation in Canada accelerated to the fastest pace since 2003, a political headache for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau only five days before an election.

The consumer price index rose 4.1% in August from a year earlier, Statistics Canada reported Wednesday in Ottawa, marking the fifth straight month of inflation readings above the Bank of Canada’s 3% cap. That’s the highest since March 2003, when it touched 4.2%. Economists were predicting a yearly gain of 3.9%.

While policy makers are likely to view price pressures as transitory, the report comes at an inopportune time for Trudeau in the final days of a tight election battle. Affordability is a key campaign issue and the main opposition Conservatives have  been accusing the incumbent Liberal government of stoking inflation with debt-financed spending plans.

Still, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem, whose latest forecasts show inflation creeping up to 3.9% in the third quarter, has warned against overreacting to the  “temporary” spike that is being driven by global supply chain disruptions and pent-up demand for services as the economy reopens. There’s also a weak comparison to last year when price pressures were subdued during the pandemic.

The increase last month was driven by a sharp increase in the cost of airplane tickets and other traveling-related expenses. From a year ago, gasoline prices and housing costs remain key drivers. Gasoline prices rose 32.5% from year ago.

On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2% versus economist estimates for a 0.1% gain. 

The average of core measures of inflation, often seen as a better gauge of underlying price pressures, rose to an annual 2.57% pace in August, the highest since 2009.

 

 

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