💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Australian businesses ended 2018 with worrying downturn-survey

Published 29/01/2019, 11:30 am
Australian businesses ended 2018 with worrying downturn-survey
NAB
-

SYDNEY, Jan 29 (Reuters) - A closely-watched index of Australian business conditions weakened sharply in December as sales, profits and employment all took a turn for the worse, a disappointing end to the year that will only add to concerns for 2019.

The National Australia Bank's NAB.AX index of business conditions, released on Tuesday, slid 9 points to +2 in December, taking it under the long-run average of +6.

The survey's volatile measure of business confidence held at +3 in December, having been much softer than conditions in recent months.

Forward orders, its most reliable indicator of domestic demand, eased 1 point to -1 in December, while the formerly resilient reading on employment dropped 5 points to +4.

The labour market has been one of the strongest sectors of an otherwise mixed economy, with the jobless rate declining steadily to a 6-1/2-year trough of 5 percent.

Yet steep falls in home prices and a tightening of lending conditions by banks have combined with subdued wage growth and inflation to darken the outlook for the economy.

Policymakers from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hold their first meeting of the year on Feb. 5 and will find it harder to justify arguments the next move in interest rates is likely to be upward.

The central bank had long touted the strength of business conditions as a reason for its optimism.

"At face value, the fall over the past 6 months suggests a significant slowing in the momentum of activity in the business sector – especially from the highs seen earlier in the year," said NAB chief economist Alan Oster.

Retail was again the worst performing sector, suggesting the Xmas shopping season did not go well as consumers remained reluctant to spend.

Mining, in contrast, reported strong conditions thanks to firm commodity prices and still solid demand from China.

The survey's measure of sales sank 8 points in December to +7, while profitability fell a matching amount to 0.

Labour costs eased in the month, while retail prices were unchanged pointing to soft inflation.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.