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Scotiabank cuts CrowdStrike stock PT to $393 despite strong F1Q25

Published 05/06/2024, 11:40 pm
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On Wednesday, Scotiabank revised its price target for CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD), a leader in cybersecurity solutions, to $393 from the previous $400, while maintaining a Sector Outperform rating. The adjustment follows the company's first-quarter results for fiscal year 2025, which revealed new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth and second-quarter guidance that exceeded expectations.

CrowdStrike's performance stands out amidst a backdrop where other major cybersecurity firms are facing challenges. The company's recent earnings report showed it continues to gain ground, outpacing competitors.

According to Scotiabank's research, CrowdStrike has been successful in replacing legacy systems from Trellix (formerly McAfee) and Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO)'s Symantec (NASDAQ:GEN) & Carbon Black in the endpoint security space. Additionally, the adoption of CrowdStrike's new platform modules is expected to contribute to sustained momentum through the rest of fiscal year 2025.

The analyst highlighted CrowdStrike's position as the largest 'S&P Completion' name, which technically places it at the forefront for potential inclusion in the S&P 500 index. While an addition to the S&P 500 could serve as a significant milestone, the firm anticipates that the late 2024 or early 2025 index rebalance may serve as the likely catalyst for such a move.

In the commentary, the analyst expressed a view that CrowdStrike's valuation is justified, and the firm's Sector Outperform thesis does not rely on an expansion of the company's earnings multiple. The strong results and positive outlook underscore the analyst's confidence in CrowdStrike's continued success and leadership in the cybersecurity industry.

In other recent news, cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike Holdings has been making substantial strides in its financial performance. The company reported a 33% increase in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), reaching $3.65 billion, and a 35% Free Cash Flow (FCF) margin in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. This growth was primarily driven by robust demand for its emerging modules, such as the Charlotte AI technology and Falcon Flex (NASDAQ:FLEX) program.

CrowdStrike's financial health was further underscored by its free cash flow margins, which remain above 30%. The company's guidance for the second quarter was also positive, with management raising their forecast for fiscal year 2025. This robust financial performance has led to several analyst firms maintaining positive ratings on CrowdStrike, albeit with varying price targets.

Rosenblatt raised the price target for CrowdStrike to $420 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. Meanwhile, Cantor Fitzgerald maintained its Overweight rating and $400 price target, and TD Cowen confirmed a price target of $400. However, Mizuho Securities reduced its price target to $370, citing a reduction in comparable company multiples, while still maintaining a Buy rating. RBC Capital maintained an Outperform rating with a $420 price target.

These assessments highlight CrowdStrike's distinct market position and potential for future growth. The company's growth was underpinned by the increased adoption of its platform, with deals including eight or more modules expanding at a 95% year-over-year rate. These recent developments provide a glimpse into CrowdStrike's ongoing performance and market position.

InvestingPro Insights

As CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD) continues to demonstrate robust financial health and market leadership, insights from InvestingPro offer additional context on the company's valuation and performance. CrowdStrike's revenue growth has been particularly impressive, with a 36.33% increase over the last twelve months as of Q4 2024. This is a testament to the company's strong demand and successful expansion into new cybersecurity modules.

InvestingPro Data shows a high Price / Book ratio of 32.08 as of Q4 2024, which may reflect the market's recognition of CrowdStrike's potential and its strong intangible assets, such as proprietary technology and brand reputation. Despite a recent price drop, with a 1-week total return of -12.57%, the company's 1-year total return stands at an impressive 98.33%, highlighting its resilience and investor confidence in its long-term strategy.

InvestingPro Tips further enrich the narrative, noting that analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, indicating a positive outlook on the company's profitability. Additionally, CrowdStrike's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, which supports its financial stability and ability to invest in growth opportunities.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis, there are 16 additional InvestingPro Tips available, offering a comprehensive understanding of CrowdStrike's financial metrics and market position. These tips, along with the real-time data provided, can help investors make informed decisions. To access these insights, consider subscribing to InvestingPro, and don't forget to use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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