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Pacific Premier Bancorp strategy weighs on KBW's EPS outlook, stock PT cut to $27

Published 26/04/2024, 01:15 am

On Thursday, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) adjusted its price target for Pacific Premier Bancorp (NASDAQ:PPBI), a financial institution based in Irvine, California. The firm's analyst cited a balance sheet prioritization over growth as the reason for the adjustment. The new price target is set at $27.00, down from the previous $29.00, while the stock's rating remains at Market Perform.

Pacific Premier Bancorp's commitment to maintaining a strong balance sheet has been highlighted as a key strategy, with a 15.0% Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio and an 11% tangible common equity to tangible assets (TCE/TA) ratio. However, this focus has led to an 8% quarter-over-quarter decline in loan growth, which is impacting KBW's earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for the years 2024 and 2025, with a 5% decrease anticipated for both years.

Despite the reduction in the price target, KBW believes that Pacific Premier Bancorp's stock should find support near current levels due to its valuation at 1.1 times tangible book value (TBV). This valuation is seen as a potential floor for the stock's price, indicating a limited downside risk from its current trading range.

The Market Perform rating suggests that KBW views Pacific Premier Bancorp's stock as likely to perform in line with the broader market or sector averages. This neutral stance is maintained even as the firm adjusts its expectations for the bank's financial performance in the near term.

In summary, KBW has revised its price target for Pacific Premier Bancorp to $27.00 from the previous target of $29.00, while continuing to recommend a Market Perform rating for the stock. The adjustment reflects the bank's strategy of prioritizing balance sheet strength over loan growth, which is expected to affect its earnings projections in the coming years.

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InvestingPro Insights

As Pacific Premier Bancorp (NASDAQ:PPBI) navigates through its balance sheet prioritization strategy, real-time data from InvestingPro can provide investors with additional context. The company's market capitalization stands at approximately $2.14 billion, and despite the challenges highlighted by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, PPBI is trading at a high earnings multiple with a P/E ratio of 72.06. This could indicate investor confidence in the bank's future profitability, aligning with the InvestingPro Tip that net income is expected to grow this year.

Nevertheless, the bank's revenue has seen a significant decline over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, with a -43.64% change, which may raise concerns about its growth trajectory. Additionally, the stock has experienced a 3-month price total return of -16.83%, suggesting some recent market pressures. On a brighter note, PPBI has been profitable over the last twelve months, and analysts predict it will remain profitable this year, which may reassure investors looking for stable returns.

For those interested in a deeper dive into Pacific Premier Bancorp's financials and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional insights. There are currently six more InvestingPro Tips available for PPBI, which could help investors make more informed decisions. To access these tips and more, investors are invited to use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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