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Morgan Stanley reduces Nike shares target, cites Q1 guidance concerns

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 17/06/2024, 07:48 pm
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On Monday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) adjusted its outlook on Nike Inc (NYSE: NYSE:NKE) shares, reducing the price target to $114 from $116 while keeping an Overweight rating on the stock.

The firm anticipates that Nike's fourth-quarter results will align with expectations and that the guidance for the first quarter and the full year will be slightly below the consensus estimates.

The analyst noted that the upcoming quarterly report is not expected to significantly alter the investment thesis for Nike as there are ongoing questions about long-term growth and profitability. However, the report will provide insights into the profit and loss impacts from the management's recent changes in strategy.

Despite the price target adjustment, Morgan Stanley believes that the potential rewards outweigh the risks for Nike in the near term, especially leading up to the company's Investor Day in the fall. The firm's stance suggests confidence in the stock's performance over the next twelve months.

Nike's stock performance is anticipated to be range-bound until the details of the company's strategic evolution are more clearly communicated during the Investor Day event. The investment firm's analysis indicates that the event could be a pivotal point for investors to better gauge the company's direction and potential for growth.

Investors and stakeholders of Nike are expected to closely monitor the company's fourth-quarter results and forward-looking guidance for any indications of how the management's recent strategy shifts are affecting the company's financial health. The maintained Overweight rating reflects a positive outlook despite the minor adjustment in the price target.

In other recent news, Nike Inc. has seen numerous developments. Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) resumed coverage of Nike, assigning a Buy rating and setting a price target of $115. The bank expects Nike's innovation strategy to lead to increased sales growth and market share expansion, particularly with the upcoming Paris Olympics and the brand's return to wholesale distribution.

On the other hand, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) revised its price target for Nike to $115 due to concerns about Nike's direct-to-consumer sales and supplier issues. The bank anticipates declines in revenue of 5%, 4%, and 1% for the first quarter, second quarter, and full fiscal year of 2025, respectively.

Additionally, Nike announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.37 per share and launched a significant innovation in athletic footwear with its first sculpted, visible Air Zoom (NASDAQ:ZM) unit in the Pegasus Premium running shoe. In terms of personnel changes, Nike is among the companies initiating workforce reductions at the start of 2024 as part of widespread cost-saving measures.

Notably, Representative Thomas Kean Jr. partially sold his holdings in Nike, and Representative Earl Blumenauer of Oregon's 3rd congressional district added Nike shares to his spouse's retirement portfolio. These are the recent developments that shape the current landscape for Nike, Inc.

InvestingPro Insights

In the context of Morgan Stanley's recent price target adjustment for Nike Inc (NYSE: NKE), real-time data from InvestingPro offers additional insights into the company's financial position and market performance. Nike's market capitalization stands at a robust $140.96 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the industry. The company's Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio is at 27.33, with an adjusted P/E for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 at 26.95, indicating investor expectations of future earnings growth.

Nike's commitment to shareholder returns is evident as it has raised its dividend for 22 consecutive years and has maintained dividend payments for 41 consecutive years, which can be a reassuring sign for investors looking for stable income. Additionally, the company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, suggesting a strong liquidity position that may provide resilience in uncertain market conditions.

InvestingPro Tips also highlight that Nike is a prominent player in the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry and operates with a moderate level of debt. These factors, coupled with the fact that cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments, offer a nuanced view of the company's financial health beyond the surface-level metrics.

For investors seeking more detailed analysis and additional tips on Nike, InvestingPro provides a comprehensive suite of tools and insights. There are 11 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed by subscribing to the service. To enhance your investment research on Nike, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. These insights can be particularly valuable ahead of Nike's Investor Day and as stakeholders evaluate the company's strategic direction and growth potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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