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Kotak analyst questions Larsen & Toubro stock valuation, retains sell rating

Published 21/06/2024, 08:54 pm
LART
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On Friday, a Kotak analyst maintained a Sell rating on Larsen & Toubro Ltd. (LT:IN) (OTC: LTOUF) with a price target of INR 3,050. The analyst pointed out the discrepancy between the company's earnings valuations and its profit growth. Despite a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6% in profit after tax (PAT) over the past six years, which lags behind the revenue CAGR of 10%, investor valuations have risen to 36 times one-year-forward core Engineering & Construction (E&C) earnings.

Larsen & Toubro, an Indian multinational engaged in technology, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and financial services, has been evaluated in the context of market trends where companies are often judged based on narratives rather than financial metrics.

The analyst expressed skepticism regarding the market's expectation of a significant improvement in the company's profit flow-through in the short term, as indicated by the Annual Report for 2024, and deemed it unlikely to occur in the medium term due to the inherent nature of the EPC business.

The retained Sell rating and price target take into account the revised future value (FV), which incorporates expectations of higher order bookings coupled with lower margin estimates. The analyst's comments underscore the importance of examining the actual growth prospects' impact on profits rather than relying on prevailing market stories.

Larsen & Toubro's stock performance and investor expectations will continue to be observed in light of the company's financial outcomes and market conditions. The current price target of INR 3,050 remains unchanged, reflecting the analyst's assessment of the company's valuation and growth prospects.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the Kotak analyst's Sell rating on Larsen & Toubro Ltd., it's worth considering additional dimensions of the company's performance. According to InvestingPro data, Larsen & Toubro has been actively engaging in share buybacks, which is often seen as a signal of management's confidence in the company's value. This aggressive repurchase activity could be a factor in the company's robust valuation.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that Larsen & Toubro is trading at a high Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio relative to its near-term earnings growth. This aligns with the analyst's observation of a discrepancy between the company's earnings valuations and profit growth. Furthermore, analysts are anticipating a sales decline in the current year, which could impact the company's profit flow-through and potentially validate the Kotak analyst's skepticism regarding short-term improvement in profitability.

Despite these challenges, Larsen & Toubro is recognized as a prominent player in the Construction & Engineering industry and has maintained dividend payments for an impressive 24 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns even in uncertain times.

InvestingPro Data highlights include:

  • Management's aggressive share buyback strategy
  • A high P/E ratio, suggesting a premium valuation
  • Anticipated sales decline in the current year

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on Larsen & Toubro, which can be found at https://www.investing.com/pro/LTOUF. These insights provide a more comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, and discover the full range of insights, including 13 additional InvestingPro Tips that could help inform your investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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