On Wednesday, HSBC analyst updated their outlook on shares of NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA), increasing the price target to $145 from $135 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment reflects the analyst's expectations for NVIDIA's product strategy and earnings potential in the coming years.
The firm anticipates NVIDIA will shift focus from its Blackwell B100/B200 GPUs to the Hopper H200 series in the second half of 2024. Moreover, HSBC forecasts NVIDIA will reallocate more capacity to its advanced packaging CoWoS-S chips in fiscal year 2025. Despite a slight delay in the next-generation GB200s, the analyst does not foresee a significant risk to NVIDIA's earnings for fiscal years 2025 and 2026.
According to the analyst's projections, NVIDIA is poised to surpass sales expectations with an estimated $30.0 billion in revenue for the second quarter of 2025, ahead of the management and consensus estimates. Similarly, sales for the third and fourth quarters of 2025 are expected to reach $33.0 billion and $36.0 billion, respectively, outperforming consensus predictions.
The revenue generated by the H200 and H20 chips in the latter half of 2024 is likely to compensate for any potential losses from the B100 and GB200 products. Consequently, HSBC has increased its datacenter sales estimate for fiscal year 2025 by 8% to $110 billion, which is 4% higher than the consensus of $105.6 billion. Looking ahead, the next significant update is anticipated in October, regarding the GB200 qualification and its expected production ramp-up by April 2025.
For fiscal year 2026, HSBC still projects a substantial increase in datacenter revenue to $178.6 billion, marking a 62% year-over-year growth and standing 14% above the consensus estimate of $156.3 billion. Despite market expectations being high, HSBC believes that the underlying AI hyperscaler capital expenditure trend and AI demand will continue to support growth.
The firm has raised its fiscal year 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimate by 8% to reflect the potential upside from the H200 and H20 chips, while leaving fiscal year 2026 estimates largely unchanged.
The revised price target of $145 is based on a fiscal year 2026 EPS estimate of $4.51 and a target price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 32 times, slightly below the 5-year historical average. With approximately 14% upside to the new target price, HSBC reiterates its Buy rating, citing ongoing strength in AI GPU demand and minimal earnings impact from any product roadmap delays.
In other recent news, NVIDIA's financial performance continues to draw attention from major financial institutions. Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) maintained a Hold rating on NVIDIA, noting the company's consistent performance and robust demand for its Hopper and Blackwell solutions.
The bank also suggested that despite potential delays in the Blackwell platform, NVIDIA's financial outlook remains steady. Meanwhile, Stifel and Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) have both expressed optimism about NVIDIA's future, maintaining their Buy ratings on the company's shares.
In parallel, Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) announced plans to acquire server manufacturer ZT Systems for $4.9 billion. This strategic move is expected to enhance AMD's artificial intelligence chip and hardware offerings, allowing it to compete more effectively with NVIDIA. The acquisition is anticipated to be finalized in the first half of 2025.
These developments reflect the recent trends in the technology sector, with a particular focus on artificial intelligence and accelerated computing. It is important for investors to keep abreast of these recent developments as they navigate the dynamic landscape of the technology sector.
InvestingPro Insights
In light of the HSBC analyst's optimistic outlook on NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA), it's pertinent to consider additional insights from InvestingPro. NVIDIA boasts a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, indicating a very strong financial position. This is particularly relevant as the company navigates its product strategy and aims to meet rising sales expectations. Analysts also anticipate sales growth in the current year, which aligns with HSBC's projection of NVIDIA surpassing sales estimates with significant revenue in the coming quarters.
InvestingPro Data provides a broader financial perspective, showing NVIDIA's substantial market cap of $3130.0 billion and a high P/E ratio of 73.97, which reflects investor confidence in its future growth potential. The revenue growth figures are impressive, with the last twelve months as of Q1 2025 showing a 208.27% increase, further reinforcing the analyst's positive sales outlook. Moreover, NVIDIA's stock price has experienced significant returns over the last week, month, and year, suggesting strong market performance and investor sentiment.
For investors seeking a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips on NVIDIA, including insights on its industry standing, volatility, and financial health. There are 20 more InvestingPro Tips available, providing a comprehensive view of the company's performance and prospects. To explore these further, one can visit NVIDIA's page on InvestingPro.
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