Goldman sees margin strength but cuts Macy's shares target amid sales slowdown

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 22/08/2024, 08:38 pm
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On Thursday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) adjusted its outlook on Macy's (NYSE:M) shares, reducing the price target to $20.00 from the previous $23.00. Despite the downgrade in the price target, the firm reaffirmed its Buy rating on the retailer's stock.

The revision follows Macy's report of a margin-driven second-quarter earnings per share (EPS) beat, which contrasted with a notable reduction in the company's full-year comparable sales and revenue guidance.

Comparable sales for the second quarter slowed down to a decline of 4%, marking a significant decrease from the nearly flat trends reported in the first quarter and falling short of the -1% expectation set by Goldman Sachs and FactSet.

Macy's management attributed the deceleration to a shift in consumer behavior, noting a mid-quarter slowdown amid broader economic uncertainty and a complex news cycle.

Despite these challenges, the company pointed to some positive developments, including the realignment of product assortments, changes in the marketing calendar, and a stronger emphasis on balancing value and fashion. However, the retailer's updated outlook now anticipates the continuation of cautious consumer spending and an increase in promotional activities.

Goldman Sachs expressed disappointment in the sharper-than-expected deceleration of Macy's results, despite the company's unique strategies to counteract the trend.

Nevertheless, the firm acknowledged the retailer's effective margin control during the quarter. Macy's managed to outperform profit expectations and reaffirmed its full-year EPS guidance, even with the significant reduction in its sales forecast for the year.

InvestingPro Insights

As Macy's (NYSE:M) navigates a challenging retail environment, real-time data and insights from InvestingPro provide an additional layer of context for investors. According to InvestingPro, Macy's market capitalization stands at $4.27 billion, with a current P/E ratio of 27.09, reflecting investor expectations about the company's future earnings. Despite recent headwinds, the retailer is trading at a price-to-book ratio of 1.02 as of the last twelve months leading up to Q1 2023, suggesting its market valuation is in line with its book value.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Macy's stock has experienced significant volatility recently, with price reductions over the past three months signaling potential opportunities for value investors. Additionally, analysts have revised their earnings expectations upwards for the upcoming period, indicating a degree of optimism about the company's potential to recover and grow its net income this year. For those interested in dividend consistency, Macy's has maintained dividend payments for 22 consecutive years, which could be a reassuring factor for income-focused investors.

For a deeper dive into Macy's performance and strategic positioning, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics. Currently, there are 11 more InvestingPro Tips available, providing a comprehensive analysis for those considering an investment in Macy's. To explore these insights, visit: InvestingPro Macy's page.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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