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Goldman Sachs highlights Qantas stock strategic gains amid inflationary pressures

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 30/08/2024, 05:06 pm
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On Friday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) maintained its Conviction Buy rating on Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX:QAN:AU) (OTC: QABSY) stock, with a price target of AUD8.05.

The firm's analysis indicates that the airline's earnings have been sustainably reset at a higher level, supported by an improvement in key operating metrics during the year's second half. This performance diminishes the necessity for significant increases in customer investment.

According to the firm, Qantas' continuous transformation efforts, which focus on revenue and cost management, are expected to counterbalance the impacts of inflation.

The airline's commitment to achieving a return on invested capital (ROIC) that surpasses the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) was also reiterated. This objective is supported by network flexibility, fuel efficiency, and increased utilization of resources.

Furthermore, Qantas has recently announced a share buyback program, which underscores the company's strategy to balance growth investments with returning capital to shareholders. This move is seen as a positive sign of the airline's financial health and its confidence in future growth prospects.

The airline's current strategies and financial maneuvers indicate a robust business model capable of navigating market challenges while rewarding shareholders. Goldman Sachs' reaffirmed price target of AUD8.05 per share reflects the firm's confidence in Qantas' strategic direction and financial performance.

In other recent news, Qantas Airways Ltd. has made significant strides in its business strategy with the acquisition of the remaining 49% stake in TripADeal for $211 million.

This move, part of Qantas's strategy to expand its footprint in the online holiday market, is expected to generate approximately $50 million per year in synergies across its Qantas, Jetstar, and Loyalty businesses.

Following this acquisition, Qantas's earnings and capital expenditure guidance remains unchanged, indicating confidence in its current business strategy and performance outlook.

In response to these developments, RBC Capital Markets has adjusted its outlook on Qantas shares, increasing the price target to AUD6.75, up from the previous AUD6.25, while maintaining a Sector Perform rating. The firm does not anticipate significant revisions to earnings or valuation for Qantas, despite the acquisition.

Furthermore, Qantas has seen an upgrade in its stock price target by Jefferies from AUD7.62 to AUD7.94, following enhancements to the Qantas Loyalty program.

These modifications, aimed at increasing member engagement, include the introduction of 20 million Classic Plus seats to facilitate point redemption, a move anticipated to contribute significantly to the projected EBIT of $0.8 billion to $1 billion by the financial year 2030. Despite these changes, Jefferies has maintained a Buy rating on the airline's stock.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro highlights that Qantas Airways Ltd (OTC: QABSY) is demonstrating strong financial health and market performance. The company's aggressive share buyback initiative is a testament to management's confidence in the airline's prospects, aligning with Goldman Sachs' positive outlook. This is further supported by a high shareholder yield and the fact that the stock is trading at a low earnings multiple of 8.76, suggesting that it may be undervalued relative to its earnings potential.

Moreover, Qantas is recognized as a prominent player in the Passenger Airlines industry, and its stock generally trades with low price volatility, offering a sense of stability to investors. With analysts predicting profitability for the current year and a record of profitability over the last twelve months, the airline's strategic efforts appear to be paying off. Nevertheless, it's important to note that the company does not pay a dividend, which may influence investment decisions for those seeking regular income.

In terms of financial metrics, Qantas boasts a Market Cap of $7.24 billion, with a Revenue Growth of 10.72% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2024. This growth is a positive indicator of the company's capacity to increase its earnings. Furthermore, with a Price to Book ratio of 87.84, the company might be considered by some investors to be trading at a premium, reflecting its high valuation in the market.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, offering a comprehensive look into Qantas' financials and market position. Discover more expert insights by visiting InvestingPro to better inform your investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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