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Deutsche Bank ups RTL Group shares target amid strategic acquisitions

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/06/2024, 08:06 pm
RGLXY
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On Monday, RTL Group SA (RTL:BB) (OTC: RGLXY) shares saw its price target increased by Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) from EUR35.00 to EUR36.00, with the firm maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. The adjustment comes as RTL Group continues to diversify its operations and strengthen its core businesses through strategic acquisitions and disposals.

RTL Group, noted for being one of the most diversified European free-to-air broadcasters, also owns a substantial content business with Fremantle and is expanding its subscription-led streaming services.

The company has been focusing on enhancing its RTL DE brand and Fremantle by acquiring additional companies, while also disposing of non-essential broadcasting assets.

In the previous year, RTL Group announced the sale of RTL Nederland to DPG Media for EUR1.1 billion, which is approximately 7.6 times the expected 2023 EBITA. The group has indicated that the profits from this sale would be distributed as a dividend in the coming year, which could result in an incremental yield of roughly EUR4 per share or about 13%.

The completion of the RTL Nederland deal is pending, awaiting approval from the Dutch competition authorities, who are currently conducting a phase 2 investigation. A decision is anticipated by the end of the year.

The analyst from Deutsche Bank highlighted that while RTL Group is making the right strategic moves, the initial costs associated with streaming investments, estimated at around EUR200 million in startup losses for 2024, along with the financial impact of mergers and acquisitions, may temporarily affect the group's profitability.

In other recent news, Citi has revised its stock price target for the media company RTL Group SA, lowering it from €51 to €40. Despite this reduction, Citi has maintained a Buy rating on the stock.

This reassessment is due to the company's inherent complexity, which can pose challenges for investors. However, Citi anticipates a favorable alignment of key themes for RTL Group as the year progresses.

The investment firm forecasts strong trends in both linear and non-linear advertising revenues, bolstered by unique events and an improving macroeconomic environment. Furthermore, Citi suggests that 2024 could be a peak year for streaming investment for RTL Group, with returns expected to improve in the latter half of the year.

Citi also highlights a potential inflection point in RTL Group's multi-year content production investment, likely to enhance margins. The potential for a significant cash return following the sale of RTL Nederland adds to the stock's attractiveness, with Citi estimating a nearly €7 dividend payable in 2025. These are the recent developments surrounding RTL Group SA.

InvestingPro Insights

Understanding the financial health and market position of RTL Group SA (OTC: RGLXY) can provide investors with a clearer picture of its potential. According to InvestingPro, RTL Group boasts a high shareholder yield and is currently trading near its 52-week low, which may interest value-seeking investors. Additionally, the company's cash flows are reported to be more than sufficient to cover interest payments, and its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, indicating a solid financial structure.

From a valuation standpoint, RTL Group has a market capitalization of $5.08 billion and operates with a moderate level of debt. With a P/E ratio of 13.17 and an adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 at 12.8, the company presents an interesting profile for those looking at traditional valuation metrics. Moreover, the dividend yield as of mid-April 2024 stands at an attractive 5.89%, despite a dividend growth decline in the previous twelve months. Investors should note that analysts predict RTL Group will be profitable this year, having been profitable over the last twelve months as well.

For those interested in further insights, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available that could provide more nuanced investment guidance. With the current price below the InvestingPro Fair Value estimate of $4.04, RTL Group may be positioned for a rebound. For a deeper analysis, investors can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, which includes access to comprehensive tips and real-time metrics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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