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Deutsche Bank lifts Banco Santander target to EUR5.80, maintains buy

Published 05/11/2024, 05:44 am
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On Monday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) expressed confidence in Banco Santander SA (NYSE:SAN:SM) (NYSE: SAN), raising its price target to EUR5.80 from EUR5.75, while reiterating a Buy rating on the stock. This adjustment reflects the bank's solid third-quarter performance in 2024, which surpassed market expectations and confirmed its guidance for the year.

Santander's third-quarter results revealed a robust financial performance, which has led to a positive outlook for 2025. The bank is expected to see continued profitability growth, primarily through increased fee-based revenues. Effective cost and provision management have also contributed to the bank's strong financial standing.

Notably, Santander has achieved its cost control targets earlier than planned, a development that has been underscored by significant growth in fee income. This growth is attributed to high levels of client activity and successful customer acquisition strategies.

Despite these achievements, the market responded negatively to Santander's third-quarter results. Investor concerns were primarily focused on declining net interest income (NII) in Spain and Portugal. Additionally, there is apprehension regarding a potential charge that could arise from consumer finance business commissions in the UK, which may impact future earnings.

The detailed commentary provided by Deutsche Bank highlights the contrast between Santander's solid quarterly performance and the market's reaction. The bank's ability to exceed its 2024 guidance and offer an optimistic preview into 2025 suggests strong operational capabilities, especially in the face of potential headwinds.

Banco Santander (BME:SAN)'s forward-looking statements indicate a strategic focus on revenue improvement and cost efficiency. The bank's proactive approach to managing expenses and provisions has been a key driver of its positive surprise this year, coupled with the impressive expansion in fee-driven income. These elements collectively form the basis for Deutsche Bank's raised price target and sustained Buy rating.

In other recent news, Santander reported significant financial growth in its recent earnings call. The bank announced a record third-quarter profit of €3.3 billion, a 12% increase year-over-year, contributing to an impressive €9.3 billion profit for the first nine months of 2023, a 14% increase from the previous year. Additionally, Santander declared a 14% increase in dividends per share and projected a 39% increase in future cash dividends in 2024.

The bank's transformation strategy has resulted in notable revenue growth across all regions, with net interest income and fees reaching record levels. Santander also reported a 229 basis point improvement in efficiency and a return on tangible equity of 16.2%. The bank's common equity tier 1 ratio stood at 12.5%.

Despite a 26 basis point charge for shareholder remuneration and 18 basis points of regulatory charges, the bank showed strong performance, particularly in Brazil, with net interest income up over 3% quarter-on-quarter and more than 22% year-on-year.

The U.S. launch of Openbank attracted over €200 million in deposits in four weeks, and the Corporate and Investment Banking segment in the U.S. reported a 41% revenue increase.

InvestingPro Insights

Adding to Deutsche Bank's positive outlook on Banco Santander, recent InvestingPro data and tips provide further context to the bank's financial performance and market position. Santander's P/E ratio of 6.18 and adjusted P/E ratio of 5.9 for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 indicate that the stock is trading at a low earnings multiple, aligning with an InvestingPro Tip that highlights the bank's attractive valuation relative to its near-term earnings growth potential.

The bank's revenue growth of 8.26% over the last twelve months and 4.71% in Q3 2024 supports Deutsche Bank's observation of Santander's solid performance. Moreover, an operating income margin of 38.64% suggests efficient operations, which is crucial given the bank's focus on cost control mentioned in the article.

InvestingPro Tips also reveal that Santander has raised its dividend for 4 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 3.25%. This consistent dividend growth, coupled with a strong return of 14.13% over the last three months, may appeal to income-focused investors.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips on Santander, providing a deeper understanding of the bank's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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