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Citi lowers TripAdvisor shares target, cites revenue headwinds

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 17/06/2024, 07:38 pm
TRIP
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On Monday, Citi has reduced the price target for TripAdvisor (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TRIP) shares to $20 from the previous $28, while keeping a Neutral rating on the stock. This adjustment follows TripAdvisor's first-quarter results for 2024, which surpassed expectations, showcasing robust performance in Viator and TheFork, and improved profitability in Brand TripAdvisor.

Despite these positive aspects, the company's guidance for the second quarter and the full year of 2024 did not meet expectations. TripAdvisor has forecasted that its total revenue will grow in the low single-digit to mid single-digit range for the entire year, while adjusted EBITDA margins are anticipated to shrink slightly due to strategic changes within Brand TripAdvisor.

The financial institution's decision comes after evaluating TripAdvisor's recent performance and future outlook. Although the first quarter showed promise, the outlook for the upcoming quarters indicates potential challenges. TripAdvisor's Special Committee has also concluded that engaging in a transaction with a third party would not align with shareholder interests at this time.

The revised revenue expectations are attributed to ongoing difficulties faced by Brand TripAdvisor and alterations to search algorithms, which are likely to affect the company's near-term financials. Additionally, TripAdvisor is undertaking strategic transformation initiatives that are expected to put pressure on its margins in the short term.

Citi's stance remains neutral, acknowledging the growth trends in some of TripAdvisor's business segments, like Viator and TheFork. However, the anticipated revenue headwinds and increased investment spending at Brand TripAdvisor are expected to impact the company's margin profile in the near term, prompting the new price target of $20.

In other recent news, TripAdvisor has been a subject of discussion in the investment sphere due to several developments. Truist Securities recently revised its outlook on TripAdvisor shares, reducing the price target to $21 from the previous $28, while maintaining a Hold rating.

This change in valuation was influenced by adjusted earnings projections for the coming years, with the 2024 adjusted EBITDA estimate modified to $352 million and EPS estimate revised to $0.48.

In the first quarter of 2024, TripAdvisor reported a year-over-year revenue increase of 6% to $395 million, with the adjusted EBITDA standing at $47 million. Despite a revenue decline from Brand TripAdvisor, the company saw significant growth in its Viator and TheFork segments, with revenues jumping by 23% and 17% respectively.

As for future expectations, TripAdvisor anticipates flat to slightly positive revenue growth in the second quarter, with low to mid-single-digit growth projected for the full year.

The company is also making strategic investments in marketing, product innovation, personalization, loyalty, and AI. These recent developments highlight TripAdvisor's strategic shifts and steady growth amid the ever-evolving travel industry.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Citi's recent price target adjustment for TripAdvisor (NASDAQ: TRIP), current data from InvestingPro shows that TripAdvisor holds a market capitalization of $2.52 billion, with an adjusted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 at 54.63. Notably, the company has demonstrated a strong gross profit margin of 91.45% in the same period, which reflects its ability to maintain profitability despite challenges.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that TripAdvisor is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth and has more cash than debt on its balance sheet, which may provide financial flexibility in implementing its strategic initiatives. Moreover, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, which could be a positive sign for investors considering the stock's recent price dip.

For those interested in deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional insights, including more InvestingPro Tips related to TripAdvisor's financial health and market performance. Readers can take advantage of a special offer using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. With 11 more InvestingPro Tips available, investors can make informed decisions by accessing comprehensive data and expert analysis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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