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Baird lowers Lululemon shares target on mixed U.S. traffic and spending

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 03/07/2024, 10:24 pm
© Reuters.
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On Wednesday, Baird adjusted its outlook on Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) shares, lowering the price target to $470 from the previous $505, while keeping an Outperform rating on the stock.

The firm noted that recent checks in June showed a muted performance with a sequential deceleration in product availability, including a tighter full price assortment and less made-to-measure (MTM) breadth. Additionally, U.S. customer traffic and spending indicators were mixed, although mostly stable.

The analyst's observations did not reveal a clear inflection point in June, aligning with the company's management guidance. However, Baird remains optimistic about the second half of the year, citing reasonable expectations for improvement driven by marketing investments and new product introductions.

Despite the lack of a significant growth catalyst in the U.S. market last month, the analyst believes that the current stock valuation, which is at a modest discount to the S&P 500 index, already accounts for a slower growth environment. This assessment suggests an attractive risk/reward scenario for investors.

The report also acknowledges the consistency of the June findings with Lululemon's management's expectations. The company has indicated that it does not anticipate a major shift in performance for the month.

Baird's stance implies confidence in the company's capacity to enhance its performance in the latter half of the year through strategic marketing efforts and the launch of new products.

Baird's price target adjustment reflects a recalibration of expectations for Lululemon's growth trajectory. While the immediate indicators may not have shown a significant uptick in performance, the firm's outlook suggests a belief in the company's long-term potential and strategic initiatives.

In summary, Baird has revised its price target for Lululemon Athletica Inc. to $470, down from $505, but maintains an optimistic Outperform rating. The firm's analysts point to a stable yet slower growth environment, with the expectation that the company's future marketing and product strategies will bolster its performance in the second half of the year.

In other recent news, Lululemon Athletica Inc. reported first-quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $2.54, driven by a 40% rise in international sales and a 2% increase in U.S. sales. The company expanded its share repurchase program by an additional $1 billion.

Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) resumed coverage on Lululemon, setting a Hold rating and a price target of $357, citing increasing competition and a trend towards more formal attire as reasons for their cautious stance.

In terms of analyst upgrades and downgrades, several financial analysts adjusted their stance on Lululemon following these results. Citi maintained a Buy rating, KeyBanc revised its price target for Lululemon, reducing it to $415 from $515, and BofA Securities raised its price target for Lululemon to $440.

On the other hand, BMO Capital cut its share price target to $384. In other recent developments, Lululemon shareholders approved executive pay and elected directors at its 2024 Annual Meeting, and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as Lululemon's independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending February 2, 2025.

However, a shareholder proposal requesting a report on the impact of the production and sale of animal-derived products did not garner enough support and was not approved.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Baird's recent price target adjustment for Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU), it's worth considering additional metrics and insights from InvestingPro. Lululemon currently holds a market capitalization of $37.71 billion, with a P/E ratio of 24.16. Notably, the company's P/E ratio adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q1 2023 is 23.09, which when paired with a PEG ratio of 0.36, indicates that the stock is trading at a low price relative to near-term earnings growth. This aligns with Baird's view of an attractive risk/reward scenario for investors.

InvestingPro Tips further reveal that Lululemon holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, and its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, providing a solid financial footing. Additionally, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, having been profitable over the last twelve months. For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, there are 24 more InvestingPro Tips available, offering deeper insights into Lululemon's financial health and market position. Interested readers can access these tips with an exclusive offer using coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription at InvestingPro.

Despite recent price volatility, with the stock trading near its 52-week low and experiencing a significant drop over the past six months, Baird's confidence in Lululemon's long-term potential appears to be supported by its underlying financial strength and market valuation. With strategic marketing and new product launches on the horizon, the company's current valuation may indeed offer a compelling entry point for investors.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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