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Apellis shares dip as Mizuho cuts price target, keeps Neutral rating

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 20/09/2024, 09:22 pm
APLS
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On Friday, Mizuho Securities adjusted its price expectations for Apellis Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:APLS), reducing the price target to $39 from the previous $42. The firm maintained a Neutral stance on the stock following the latest developments regarding the company's drug, pegcetacoplan, known commercially as Syfovre in the United States.

Apellis Pharmaceuticals received a final negative opinion from the European Medicines Agency's (EMA) Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) regarding the potential European regulatory approval for pegcetacoplan. The analyst at Mizuho had anticipated this outcome, citing previous analyses that indicated a low probability of a positive opinion for approval after re-examinations.

The reaffirmation of the negative opinion in July 2024 has led Mizuho to exclude projected revenue from Syfovre in the European Union from its financial model for Apellis. This revision has resulted in a 7% decrease in the price target. The analyst's perspective suggests a limited potential for stock price growth from its current level, along with uncertainty on factors that could significantly drive the share price upward.

The EMA's CHMP plays a critical role in the authorization of medicines within the European Union. The negative opinion on pegcetacoplan means that Apellis will not be able to count on the European market for sales of the drug under the current circumstances.

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts, focuses on developing therapeutic compounds to treat autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. The company's stock performance is closely watched by investors interested in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical sectors.

In other recent news, Apellis Pharmaceuticals has reported strong Q2 2024 growth, with its drugs SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI performing well. SYFOVRE achieved over $0.5 billion in sales since its launch and $155 million in net product revenue in Q2 2024 alone, while EMPAVELI also generated substantial revenue with $24.5 million in sales. The company's drug pegcetacoplan, marketed as Empaveli, has shown positive results in Phase 3 VALIANT study, demonstrating a significant 68% reduction in proteinuria, a marker of kidney damage, in patients with two rare kidney diseases.

Various analyst firms have responded to these developments. Mizuho has reiterated its Neutral rating on Apellis with a steady price target of $42.00, while BofA Securities revised its price target for Apellis, reducing it to $61.00 and maintaining a Buy rating. Baird maintained its Outperform rating and increased the stock's price target to $96, and Jefferies also maintained a Buy rating and increased the price target to $82.00.

These recent developments have positioned Apellis Pharmaceuticals in the spotlight, as the company awaits the final opinion on the approval of its drug by the European Medicines Agency's (EMA) Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP). The meeting, closely watched by investors and industry experts, has the potential to significantly impact the company's market positioning in Europe.


InvestingPro Insights


As Mizuho Securities revises its stance on Apellis Pharmaceuticals, it's essential to consider the company's financial health and market performance. According to InvestingPro data, Apellis has a market capitalization of $4.47 billion. Despite a robust revenue growth of 240.74% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, analysts are not optimistic about the company's profitability in the short term. This is further reflected in the negative price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of -13.58, indicating that the company is not currently generating profits.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while Apellis operates with a moderate level of debt and its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, which is a positive sign for financial stability, the company is not expected to be profitable this year. Additionally, the stock is trading at a high Price/Book multiple of 16.92, which might be a concern for value-focused investors. Moreover, with six analysts having revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, it signals caution regarding the company's near-term earnings potential.

For investors seeking more detailed analysis, there are additional tips available on InvestingPro, which can provide further insights into Apellis Pharmaceuticals' financial metrics and projections. These tips could be particularly valuable in light of the recent negative opinion from the EMA's CHMP on the company's key drug, pegcetacoplan.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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