🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

UPDATE 4-Oil prices climb as Iran endorses oil output cap

Published 18/02/2016, 06:48 pm
© Reuters.  UPDATE 4-Oil prices climb as Iran endorses oil output cap
LCO
-
CL
-

* Difficult to achieve cuts even with output cap -analyst

* Markets still oversupplied with oil -BMI

* U.S. oil output could fall on low prices -Phillip Futures (Updates prices)

By Keith Wallis

SINGAPORE, Feb 18 (Reuters) - Crude futures rose in Asian trade on Thursday after Iran welcomed plans by Russia and Saudi Arabia to cap production, although analysts said the move would not lead to any output cuts and Tehran offered no action of its own.

After oil prices rose in the previous session as much 8 percent, commentators suggested markets had overreacted to Iran's support for the caps and said the Russian-Saudi move would not likely reduce the global surplus.

"I share the consensus view that producers are unlikely to reach an agreement (on cuts), the rationale being the need to satisfy two conditions," said Ric Spooner, chief market analyst with Sydney's CMC Markets.

"First, any price gains must offset losses achieved from volume cuts - production cuts must be meaningful - sufficiently large to achieve a substantial price increase. And they will have to involve everybody - all the major (producer) players. That will be difficult to achieve," he said.

Brent futures LCOc1 rose 21 cents to $34.71 a barrel by 0740 GMT, having closed 7.2 percent higher in the previous session after hitting an intraday high of $34.99.

U.S. crude CLc1 gained 54 cents to $31.20 a barrel, having finished 5.6 percent higher in the previous session after touching a high of $31.49.

Oil prices would likely remain volatile, Spooner said, as traders and investors reacted to news and rumours about curbs on output growth and possible cuts in production.

Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh met counterparts from Venezuela, Iraq and Qatar on Wednesday but did not say if Iran would cap its output in keeping with the move by Russia, Saudi Arabia and Iraq. agreement will do little to reduce the current supply glut," BMI Research said in a note on Thursday.

A rebalancing in supply and demand is more likely in the second half of 2016, BMI said.

Iran's OPEC envoy Mehdi Asali said it was "illogical" to ask Iran to freeze production levels in comments to the Shargh daily newspaper before the talks on Wednesday.

Iran exported around 2.5 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude before 2012, but sanctions, imposed by world powers to curb Tehran's nuclear programme, cut its oil shipments to about 1.1 million bpd.

The sanctions were lifted last month, allowing Iran to resume selling oil freely in international markets.

Oil prices also gained support after U.S. crude stocks unexpectedly fell by 3.3 million barrels last week to 499.1 million, data from the American Petroleum Institute showed on Wednesday. continue to eye crude production and would think that it should start to decrease. Should this happen, we would think that this could be the start of U.S. production cuts due to low oil prices," Singapore's Phillip Futures said in a note.

Analysts had expected crude inventories to climb by 3.9 million barrels in the week to Feb. 12, according to a Reuters poll on Tuesday. prices may gain further direction when the Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration releases official oil inventory data later on Thursday.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.