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Shanghai rebar near six-month high amid firm demand

Published 03/11/2016, 01:28 pm
Updated 03/11/2016, 01:30 pm
© Reuters.  Shanghai rebar near six-month high amid firm demand
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* Spot iron ore also steady near highest level since April

* Chinese mills may raise prices further on margin squeeze -Morgan

By Manolo Serapio Jr

MANILA, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Shanghai rebar steel futures stabilised near their highest level since April on Thursday, supported by firm demand in top consumer China which kept spot prices of raw material iron ore at six-month peaks.

Inventory of steel products at mills that are members of the China Iron and Steel Association dropped 1.9 percent to 13.61 million tonnes on Oct. 20 from Oct. 10, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) said.

At the same time, average daily crude steel output among the member mills stood at 1.72 million tonnes on Oct. 11-20, down 1.3 percent from the previous 10 days.

"The drop in production is likely the result of mills' increasing maintenance due to pollution pressure and rising cost," Morgan Stanley analysts said in a note.

"However, the declined inventory level suggests demand remained intact. We expect steel mills to further raise prices in response to the margin squeeze."

Rebar, a construction steel product, on the Shanghai Futures Exchange SRBcv1 was up 0.6 percent at 2,644 yuan ($391) a tonne by 0200 GMT. The contract touched 2,665 yuan on Wednesday, its strongest since April 25.

Among Chinese steel traders, inventory has decreased to the lowest since early August at 8.81 million tonnes as of Oct. 28 and was also 8 percent lower than the same period last year, said Argonaut Securities analyst Helen Lau.

"Declining blast furnace utilization rates and low steel inventory will result in supply tightness and steel price increases as steel demand is healthy," Lau said.

Further signs of recovery in China's economy also boosted sentiment. China's services sector grew at the strongest pace in four months in October as new business picked up, a private survey showed. strength in steel prices has supported appetite for iron ore, with the benchmark spot price for delivery to China's Tianjin port .IO62-CNI=SI unchanged at $64.40 a tonne on Wednesday, according to The Steel Index. That was the highest level since April 29.

Iron ore has gained 50 percent this year, far outpacing other commodities such as copper CMCU3 and oil LCOc1 . But it remains outstripped by spot Australian premium hard coking coal .PHCC-AUS=SI which has surged 240 percent this year to $265.50 a tonne on Wednesday amid a shortage of the fuel in China.

($1 = 6.7590 Chinese yuan)

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