💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Oil prices up on US inventory draw, but traders warn on premature rally

Published 07/04/2016, 10:51 am
Updated 07/04/2016, 11:00 am
© Reuters.  Oil prices up on US inventory draw, but traders warn on premature rally
BNPP
-
LCO
-
CL
-

* North Sea oil field maintenance supports Brent futures

* Global manufacturing shows signs of recovery

* But some traders warn that oil fundamentals remain weak

By Henning Gloystein

SINGAPORE, April 7 (Reuters) - Crude futures were lifted by a raft of supportive indicators in early trading on Thursday, although some traders warned that physical supply and demand fundamentals did not warrant a strong price recovery at this stage.

International Brent futures LCOc1 traded above $40 per barrel in early trading and stood at $40.07 at 0038 GMT, up 23 cents from the last close and almost 8 percent above lows reached earlier this week.

Front month U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 were trading at $38.09 per barrel, up 34 cents from their last close and 8 percent above their April lows.

U.S. crude prices were supported by an unexpected fall in crude inventories, albeit from all-time record highs, last week as refineries continued to hike output and imports fell.

"Oil prices spiked after the EIA data release," ANZ bank said in a morning note on Thursday.

U.S. crude inventories USOILC=ECI fell 4.9 million barrels in the week to April 1, compared with analysts' expectations for an increase of 3.2 million barrels, according to data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday. Europe, North Sea oil field maintenance expected next month lent support to Brent futures, which are priced off North Sea supplies. on the demand side, manufacturing seems to be recovering from recent weakness, analysts said.

"Global manufacturing PMIs (Purchasing Managers' Index) saw their strongest MoM (month-on-month) recovery in two and half years in March, according to our calculations," Macquarie bank said.

Yet some traders warned that the rise in futures prices might be premature and not supported by physical market fundamentals.

A planned meeting of major oil producers on April 17 to freeze output around current levels, which in most cases remains at or near record highs, would do little to reduce an overhang in production with at least a million barrels of crude pumped every day in excess of demand.

"Absent a tightening in global oil fundamentals we reiterate our recommendation to go long put spread," BNP Paribas (PA:BNPP) said.

A put is a financial instrument that gives a trader the option right to sell an asset like crude futures. (Editing by Ed Davies)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.