🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Oil prices stable as strong dollar weighs, tighter market looms

Published 21/10/2016, 12:03 pm
© Reuters.  Oil prices stable as strong dollar weighs, tighter market looms
LCO
-
CL
-
DXY
-

By Henning Gloystein

SINGAPORE, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Oil prices were stable on Friday, weighed down by a stronger dollar but supported by signs fuel markets are balancing after two years of oversupply.

The dollar rose to its highest level since March against a basket of other leading currencies .DXY on Thursday, potentially crimping demand as fuel becomes more expensive for countries using other currencies. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude CLc1 was trading at $50.62 a barrel at 0050 GMT, 1 cent below its last settlement.

International Brent crude oil futures LCOc1 were up 3 cents at $51.41 per barrel.

Crude prices fell over 2 percent the previous session on the back of the soaring dollar. the falls, overall sentiment in oil markets was confident as financial investors are still keen to pour more money into crude futures, and there are also mounting signs of a tightening physical oil market.

"The near term fundamentals in the oil market have turned positive. Demand is stabilizing, OPEC production has peaked (and will fall if cuts are implemented), and global inventory declines imply that the market is more balanced than many believe," Neil Beveridge of Bernstein Energy said in a note to clients.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) plans to implement a 0.5 to 1 million barrels per day production cut after a meeting on Nov. 30.

OPEC's current output stands at a record 33.6 million barrels per day.

Bernstein's Beveridge said that due to OPEC's cuts and general market conditions, he was "forecasting a return to $60 per barrel in 2017 and $70 per barrel in 2018", adding that even higher prices would be prevented by rising production outside OPEC.

"Ultimately, a rise in U.S. production (and non-OPEC supply more broadly) will cap the recovery in price," he said.

U.S. crude oil production C-OUT-T-EIA has fallen almost 12 percent since peaks in 2015, to around 8.5 million barrels per day, but rising drilling activity has slightly lifted output again in recent weeks, in what some analysts say are early indicators that the U.S. shale industry has adapted to lower prices and can operate at around $50 per barrel.

(Editing by Joseph Radford)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.