Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

Oil prices recover on signs of tighter supply, Fed fears limit gains

Published 08/03/2023, 01:06 pm
© Reuters
LCO
-
CL
-
DXY
-

By Ambar Warrick

Investing.com -- Oil prices recovered a measure of recent losses on Wednesday on the prospect of tightening U.S. supplies, although fears of rising interest rates, following hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, still weighed on sentiment.

Data from the American Petroleum Institute showed that U.S. crude inventories likely saw their first decline last week after 10 straight weeks of builds, heralding a similar trend from government data due later in the day.

Signs of a draw in inventories, coupled with recent comments from oil firm executives that U.S. production had peaked, helped spur some bets that supply in the world’s largest oil consumer will tighten in the coming months.

Brent oil futures rose 0.6% to $83.42 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures steadied around $77.57 a barrel by 20:35 ET (01:35 GMT). Both contracts plummeted between 3.5% and 4% on Tuesday.

Crude prices were still nursing their worst losses in over two months after Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that recent strength in inflation and the jobs market was likely to see interest rates rise more than market expectations.

His comments ramped up concerns that rising interest rates could spur a potential recession this year, which in turn will dent crude demand. The dollar also strengthened sharply after Powell’s testimony, further weighing on oil markets.

Tuesday's losses also saw oil prices turn negative for the year, after a series of positive weeks saw markets briefly break into positive territory.

Focus this week is squarely on data providing more cues on the U.S. economy, starting with the Fed’s Beige Book due later on Wednesday. Nonfarm payrolls data, due on Friday, is also closely awaited, given that any signs of strength in the jobs market give the Fed more headroom to raise interest rates.

Fears of rising rates and slowing economic growth have been the biggest weights on crude prices this year, largely offsetting optimism over a potential recovery in Chinese demand.

But mixed economic readings from the country undermined bets on a Chinese recovery this week.

While the country logged a record-high trade surplus in the January-February period, it also saw a bigger-than-expected decline in imports, indicating that Chinese demand remained weak despite the lifting of anti-COVID restrictions.

Focus is now on Chinese inflation data for February, due on Friday, for more economic cues on the world’s largest oil importer.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.