UGI stock outlook positive with Buy rating and potential $4-$5 upside

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 23/11/2024, 12:06 am
UGI
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On Friday, UGI Corporation (NYSE:UGI), a diversified energy company, received a positive outlook from investment firm Jefferies as they initiated coverage on the company's stock. UGI was assigned a Buy rating with a price target set at $28.00. The new price target suggests a potential total shareholder return of over 20%.

Jefferies highlighted the impact of UGI's new leadership under Bob Flexon, anticipating a more concentrated effort on the company's core natural gas franchise. The firm noted that the Pennsylvania-focused utility operations, which represent approximately 90% of UGI's stock price, along with the Midstream segment, could counterbalance the negative value from AmeriGas.

The investment firm's analysis pointed to UGI's current valuation at roughly 8 times price-to-earnings ratio, which is about a 50% discount compared to the industry average. This valuation, according to Jefferies, presents multiple opportunities for the company to enhance shareholder value by redirecting its focus towards its gas operations.

UGI's stock performance and investor sentiment could be influenced by the company's ability to leverage its sum-of-the-parts, as mentioned by Jefferies. The firm's outlook is grounded in the potential for UGI under its new leadership to sharpen its focus and drive growth within its core segments.

In other recent news, UGI Corporation reported robust fiscal Q3 2024 results, with a notable increase in adjusted earnings per share (EPS) to $0.06, up from $0.00 in the previous year. This financial improvement is a result of strategic efforts to enhance cost savings. The company's year-to-date adjusted diluted EPS stands at $3.22, marking a strong financial period for UGI.

The company's available liquidity is reported at $1.9 billion, with a total of $510 million in capital expenditures deployed, primarily in regulated utilities and midstream segments. UGI added approximately 10,000 new residential heating and commercial customers during this period.

The adjusted earnings per share for their natural gas businesses saw a 23% increase, while UGI International reported a 43% rise in adjusted earnings per share. Furthermore, the company is on track to deliver its fiscal 2024 adjusted EPS guidance of $2.70 to $3.00.

InvestingPro Insights

UGI Corporation's financial metrics and recent performance align well with Jefferies' positive outlook. According to InvestingPro data, UGI's P/E ratio stands at 7.73, confirming the attractive valuation highlighted in the article. This low earnings multiple is further emphasized by an InvestingPro Tip, which notes that UGI is "Trading at a low earnings multiple."

The company's dividend strategy also supports the potential for shareholder returns. UGI boasts a dividend yield of 6.05%, and an InvestingPro Tip reveals that the company "Has raised its dividend for 31 consecutive years." This consistent dividend growth, coupled with the current yield, contributes to the "High shareholder yield" mentioned in another InvestingPro Tip.

Looking ahead, InvestingPro Tips suggest that "Net income is expected to grow this year" and "Analysts predict the company will be profitable this year." These projections align with Jefferies' optimistic view on UGI's future performance under new leadership.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips for UGI, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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