On Friday, WiseTech Global Ltd (WTC:AU) saw its price target increased by UBS to AUD153.00, up from the previous target of AUD144.00, while the Buy rating on the stock was maintained. The adjustment comes after WiseTech Global announced a significant change in its financial reporting, switching its reporting currency to the US dollar (USD) from the Australian dollar (AUD) for the first half of the financial year 2025 and onwards.
This move reflects the growing importance of the USD in WiseTech's operations, especially following the acquisitions of Blume and Envase.
The change in reporting currency is seen as a strategic alignment with the dominant currency used in international logistics, which is a core aspect of WiseTech's business. In response to this announcement, UBS has updated its model for the company's financial projections. For the fiscal year 2025, UBS estimates that WiseTech will generate revenue of US$832 million, up from the previously projected A$1,227 million. This forecast sits comfortably within the company's own guidance range of US$792-858 million.
UBS also anticipates that WiseTech's EBITDA will reach US$423 million, surpassing the company's projections of US$396-436 million. Furthermore, UBS expects an EBITDA margin of 50.9%, which is slightly above the company's guidance of 50-51%. After adjusting for capitalized R&D, UBS projects an Adjusted EBITDA of US$278 million for WiseTech.
The firm's positive outlook on WiseTech is underpinned by a constructive view on the company's medium-term growth potential. UBS forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26% for revenue and 43% for Adjusted EBITDA over the next three years. This growth expectation, along with the recent strategic currency shift, supports UBS's decision to retain a Buy rating on WiseTech Global shares.
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