TD Cowen reiterates Hold on Markel shares as activist pressures drive potential reform

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 15/01/2025, 04:48 am
MKL
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On Tuesday, TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating on Markel Corp (NYSE:MKL) with a price target of $1,836.00. The firm's analyst, Andrew Kligerman, highlighted that activist investor Jana Partners acquired shares of Markel in December and may seek to influence the company's Board elections if Markel is unreceptive to change.

According to InvestingPro data, Markel currently maintains a strong financial health score of 3.31 (rated as GREAT), suggesting solid fundamentals despite recent challenges.

Jana Partners is pushing for improvements in Markel's Insurance performance and is considering advocating for the sale or spin-off of its Ventures business, viewing the entire company as an attractive acquisition target.

Kligerman pointed out that the Hold rating has been based on the absence of positive change within the company. However, he acknowledged that Jana Partners' involvement could potentially drive reform at Markel. Kligerman suggested that significant value could be unlocked if Markel refines its Insurance operations, which might include an external review and a strategic simplification through the separation or monetization of its Ventures segment.

Markel's current trading metrics were also discussed, with the company trading at 1.3 times book value compared to the peer median of 2.3 times, and at a 17.1 times price-to-earnings ratio for the estimated year 2025 versus the peer median of 12.2 times. These figures, according to the analysis, are obscured by Markel's diverse operations but could be attractive based on a sum-of-the-parts analysis.

InvestingPro analysis reveals a current P/E ratio of just 7.87x and strong liquidity with a current ratio of 2.68, suggesting potential value opportunities. Get access to 12+ additional ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics with InvestingPro's detailed research report.

Furthermore, Kligerman mentioned that Markel's Board has recognized the undervaluation of its stock and has recently authorized a $2 billion repurchase program. Despite these developments, TD Cowen is awaiting more substantive changes before altering its rating on Markel shares. The company has demonstrated solid performance with revenue growth of 13.34% over the last twelve months, as reported by InvestingPro, which offers comprehensive analysis through its Pro Research Report, available for 1,400+ US stocks including Markel.

In other recent news, Markel Group announced a new share repurchase program, authorizing the buyback of up to $2 billion of its common stock. This decision supersedes a previous $750 million repurchase program initiated in 2023. Under the prior program, Markel repurchased $495 million worth of its common stock. The new buyback plan does not have a set expiration date, offering the company flexibility to repurchase shares over an unspecified period.

In addition to this development, Markel Group has reported robust growth in its third-quarter earnings for 2024. The company's total net investments surged by 68% to $30.3 billion, and underwriting and insurance operating income experienced an 84% increase to $458 million. Markel Ventures operations also saw a substantial rise, with operating income climbing by 117% to $388 million.

Recurring dividend and interest income rose by 99% to $677 million, while gross written premiums in the insurance segment grew by 4% to $8.2 billion. Despite some challenges, including catastrophe losses and a decline in certain U.S. casualty lines due to corrective underwriting actions, Markel Group remains focused on growth opportunities in specialist solutions moving into 2025.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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