RBC maintains TransUnion stock Outperform rating, $121 target

Published 18/01/2025, 06:12 am
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On Friday, RBC Capital Markets reiterated its positive stance on TransUnion (NYSE:TRU) shares, maintaining an Outperform rating and a price target of $121.00. The company, currently trading at $96.29 with a market capitalization of $18.78 billion, shows promising potential according to InvestingPro data, which reveals 13 additional key investment tips for this stock. The firm's analysis highlights the strategic benefits of TransUnion's recent acquisition of Trans Union de Mexico, which is anticipated to bolster the company's performance in emerging markets, specifically in Mexico.

TransUnion's business in Mexico reported a 10% growth in constant currency for the year 2024 and is projected to continue growing at a high single-digit rate, building on the company's overall revenue growth of 8.53% in the last twelve months. The potential for additional revenue synergies could further enhance this growth trajectory.

InvestingPro analysis shows impressive gross profit margins of 59.96%, supporting the company's expansion strategy. RBC Capital analysts noted the acquisition's favorability, citing the 11.5 times multiple as inexpensive given the expected high single-digit revenue growth, synergistic opportunities, and the high-40% margins that are accretive to TransUnion's overall company margins.

The acquisition is also expected to be accretive to earnings per share (EPS) from the first year. While the purchase will initially increase TransUnion's leverage by 0.3 times, the company has plans to reduce its debt levels throughout 2025, aiming to de-leverage prior to the acquisition's finalization at the end of the year.

RBC Capital's analysts emphasized the strategic nature of the acquisition, which aligns with TransUnion's playbook for success in emerging markets. The high-40% margins of Trans Union de Mexico are particularly beneficial, as they exceed the company's current margins and will contribute positively to the financial profile of the parent company.

The acquisition is part of a broader strategy by TransUnion to expand its international footprint and leverage its expertise in credit information and analysis in new markets. By executing this strategy in Mexico, TransUnion aims to replicate its success in other emerging markets and drive long-term growth. With a healthy current ratio of 1.68 and moderate debt levels, the company appears well-positioned for this expansion. For detailed insights into TransUnion's growth strategy and financial health, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, TransUnion is set to significantly expand its ownership in Trans Union de Mexico, S.A., S.I.C., aiming to boost its stake to approximately 94%. This move is part of TransUnion's strategy to support Mexico's digital transformation and enhance financial inclusion. The acquisition is expected to generate about $145 million in revenue and $70 million in Adjusted EBITDA for 2024.

In other developments, TransUnion's Q3 earnings and revenue results showed a 12% increase in revenue and a 17% growth in U.S. financial services. Analyst firms Baird and Stifel have raised TransUnion's stock target to $130 and $120 respectively, while Jefferies maintained a Buy rating but lowered the stock's price target from $125.00 to $115.00.

TransUnion also recently refinanced a substantial portion of its debt, establishing new term loans totaling approximately $1.885 billion. This strategic financial maneuver is part of TransUnion's broader efforts to manage its capital structure efficiently.

Additionally, TransUnion announced that William P. Bosworth, a member of its Board of Directors, will resign at the end of 2024, and the Board will reduce its size from 11 to 10 members starting 2025. Executive Vice President and Chief Global Solutions Officer, Timothy J. Martin, plans to retire in September 2026.

TransUnion's ongoing transformation program is expected to yield $200 million in free cash flow benefits by 2026, with capital expenditures projected to decrease to 8% of revenues for 2024 and 2025. These recent developments reflect TransUnion's commitment to its long-term financial obligations and operational efficiency.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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