Citi sees upside in Coherent stock as AI trends fuel earnings power

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 18/11/2024, 08:16 pm
COHR
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On Monday, Citi has updated its outlook on Coherent (NYSE: NYSE:COHR) stock, a company specializing in photonics solutions. The firm now rates Coherent as a Buy with a new price target of $136.00, an increase from the previous target of $106.00.

This adjustment reflects a positive view on Coherent's future financial performance, driven by its artificial intelligence (AI) sales, and the new management's strategy to enhance margins and reduce debt.

The firm's coverage, now led by analyst Papa Sylla, anticipates that Coherent will evolve into a company with over 40% non-GAAP gross margin and an earnings power exceeding $5.00 per share by the fiscal year ending in June 2026.

Citi's outlook is underpinned by the belief that the market has yet to fully appreciate Coherent's AI sales potential and the new management's capacity to achieve its objectives effectively.

Citi's analysis suggests that Coherent is well-positioned to capitalize on significant industry trends, including the rise of General AI and the transition from 800G to 1.6T technologies. The firm's revised financial models indicate a 4% and 15% sales and EPS upside, respectively, leading to the decision to maintain the Buy rating and elevate the price target.

The new price target of $136 is based on a 27x forward price-to-earnings (PE) multiple for the fiscal year two periods ahead. Coherent's focus on growing its profitable business segments, implementing new pricing and cost optimization strategies, and improving operational efficiency are key factors contributing to Citi's optimistic stance on the company's stock.

In other recent news, Coherent Corp. has reported its fiscal year 2025 first quarter results and provided projections for the second quarter. The earnings call, led by CEO Jim Anderson and CFO Sherri Luther, offered an in-depth review of the company's Q1 performance.

Although no specific financial misses were mentioned during the call, the company did acknowledge risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from projections.

In a positive turn, Coherent Corp. shared forward-looking statements suggesting an optimistic outlook for the future. These recent developments are part of the company's transparent communication with investors.

While the details of the Q&A session during the earnings call were not disclosed, investors are encouraged to consult the earnings press release available on Coherent's website for additional information.

InvestingPro Insights

Coherent's recent performance and future prospects align well with Citi's bullish outlook. According to InvestingPro data, Coherent has shown impressive price performance, with a 163.68% total return over the past year and a strong 63.62% return over the last six months. This upward trajectory supports Citi's decision to raise the price target.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Coherent's net income is expected to grow this year, and analysts predict the company will be profitable this year. These projections are in line with Citi's forecast of improved earnings power. Additionally, the tip indicating that six analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period further reinforces the positive sentiment surrounding Coherent's financial outlook.

It's worth noting that InvestingPro offers 14 additional tips for Coherent, providing investors with a more comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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