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USD/CAD looks ready for more downside after breaking key support—bears might be taking control. With Trump delaying tariffs, CAD bulls could see opportunities in EUR/CAD for a potential...
Trump's tariffs are pushing the U.S. dollar to new heights, shaking global currency markets. Escalating tensions and a stronger dollar could lead to inflation and economic disruptions. As tariffs...
Our assumption in December was that a US-Canada trade war could take USD/CAD to 1.50. That is now a clear possibility. The two key factors for FX are how long US tariffs will stay in place and the...
Markets have continued to unwind US Dollar longs as US Treasuries had another strong session, and a delay in tariff announcements is fuelling some tentative optimism. That said, we could start to see...
Markets may tread carefully today ahead of Monday’s inauguration of President Trump. There are lingering concerns about the “day one” measures, some of which are priced in, which could generate some...
The US dollar could lose some momentum this week as a return of normal market conditions allows for some reconciliation with slightly lower rates. However, the proximity to Trump’s inauguration and...
The first trading day of the year brought fresh pressure on European currencies. There is now a considerable risk premium being built into EUR/USD, and we suspect that both protectionism and the...
US Dollar has continued to buck seasonal depreciating trends thanks to a still-high short-term swap rate. We expect a wait-and-see approach today ahead of the last key central bank events of the year...
The US dollar has come back bid this week. Any upside surprise to today’s US November core CPI number would trigger another leg higher in the dollar – as would only a 25bp rate cut from the Bank of...
The escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict had only a short-lived impact on FX, and safe-haven demand has rapidly faded. The balance of risks is shifting more to the upside for the US dollar, also...
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