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The recent failure of two US banks, SVB and Signature, have understandably triggered a major re-appraisal of Fed tightening prospects. This has seen two-year EUR/USD swap rate differentials move to...
The S&P 500 closed down 1.8% yesterday led by financials (-4%). Heavy losses for SVB Financial (NASDAQ:SIVB), a California-based lender to the venture capital industry, are raising questions over...
Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp hike and hinted at a higher peak rate in his semi-annual testimony. This was a reminder that picking the top in the dollar rally remains too risky....
USD/JPY is picking up some upside momentum once again after BOJ leadership candidate Kazuo Ueda appeared in front of parliament last week. He supported the current ultra-loose monetary policy as...
Most macro commentary focuses on the US. But over the last few months, the real golden kid has been Europe.Recently, the euro has appreciated 10%+ against the US Dollar, macro data seems to suggest a...
USD: A delicate balance Another day and another piece of positive US activity data. Yesterday saw a strong January retail sales release. Though boosted by warmer weather, the data still positively...
DXY sure looks like it is consolidating for another leg higher as EUR breaks down: AUD has little head and shoulders top:Gold held on. If oil is forming an uptrend then pain is the name of the...
Jay Powell did not rock markets as he acknowledged more strong data can imply a higher peak rate but still appeared to be hanging on to the disinflation story. The dollar still faces moderate upside...
It was a huge DXY and EUR reversal Friday night: AUD was vapourised:Markets are still short:All commodities puked:Miners (ASX:RIO) did a bit better:EM stocks (NYSE:EEM) fell:Junk (NYSE:HYG)...
US market rates fell after the Federal Reserve decision but this looks more like a market positioning effect than anything specific from the meeting. Expect some retracement. Both the European Central...
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