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Weekly Commodities Report - Oil Out Of Steam But Coffee Resilient

Published 12/10/2016, 12:00 pm
Updated 06/07/2021, 05:05 pm
XAU/USD
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Originally published by AxiTrader

US Cocoa

Trendline resistance in Cocoa has held and the commodity extended losses to $2620 today. The short-term technical outlook remains bearish, and further losses seem likely after the break of the key support level at $2657. The next notable support level lies at $2562 (2014 low).

COCOA.Daily

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COCOA.Monthly

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US Coffee C

Short-term techs in Coffee continue to be bullish and it has again managed to bounce off trendline support that has formed from the late May low. Coffee saw a sharp rejection off $160, but the clear bounce off $144 suggests that it has not yet run out of steam. A break above $154.78 would signal that another test of $160.70 is imminent.

COFFEE.Daily

Chart

Copper

Copper has failed to sustain momentum above $2.20 and techs are rather neutral at the moment. The commodity is currently trading with a descending channel pattern, but it would take a break below $2.0645 support for techs to turn bearish. Trading the range currently seems the most appropriate strategy - with $2.0645 and $2.2760 the key levels to watch.

COPPER.Daily

Chart

Natural Gas

Natural Gas has extended gains and rallied to almost $3.30 today. Expect decent buying interest at the former resistance level of $3.094. Price is also supported by a rising trendline formed from the late July low. To see the next relevant resistance levels, we have to zoom out to the Weekly chart. $3.385 is a level that stands out, but above there, there wouldn't be any significant resistance until $3.95/4.00.

NATGAS.Daily

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NATGAS.Weekly

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US Soybean Oil

Soybean volatility has decreased significantly, and price is caught within a descending triangle. Short-term techs remain bearish however, and $920-935 is the key area to watch, as a break below would signal a move back towards the lower $800s.

SOYBEAN.Daily

Chart

Crude Oil

WTI had an impressive rally in the past three weeks, but it has run out of steam ahead of the key level $51.66 resistance level (May 2016 high). Overall, techs are bullish and the RSI is not showing overbought conditions yet on the Daily. Expect decent support ahead of the $49 level.

WTI.Weekly

Chart

Gold

Gold found support at the 76 % Fibo of the May-July rally, but rallies remain rather weak so far, with selling interest still high. $1300 would be an attractive level for traders looking to establish a short position (former key support), but it seems a bit too distant as of now.

GOLD.Daily


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