Breaking News

The Gold Bubble Looks Ready to Burst

By Satendra SinghCommoditiesMar 12, 2024 01:42

au.investing.com/analysis/the-gold-bubble-looks-ready-to-burst-200592038

By Satendra Singh | Mar 12, 2024 01:42

Saved. See Saved Items.

This article has already been saved in your Saved Items

XAU/USD

-0.61%

Add to/Remove from a Portfolio

Gold

-1.16%

Add to/Remove from a Portfolio

On analyzing spot gold and gold futures in the daily chart since December 4, 2023, I find futures, after hitting a new peak at $2203, have entered the overbought territory amid mere expectations for lower interest rates this year.

Gold Futures Daily Chart

Gold Spot Daily Chart

Both spot gold and futures hit fresh heights on Friday after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who raised expectations for lower interest rates this year.

Observations

Gold looks ready to retreat, as mere expectations for lower interest rates can’t keep futures prices above $2192 nor spot prices above $2189 for a long.

Economic data, announced before Powell’s second appearance, looks quite supportive for equity markets and indicates limited upside for precious metals.

A steep slide awaits the yellow metal.

Shrinking the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion will add more exhaustion in upcoming trading sessions. Gold bears could push futures to a low at $1987 before March 27, 2024.

Conclusion

Gold futures look ready to reverse from the overbought territory.

On the flip side, gold futures could reach $2204, while the second resistance could be at $2227.

Gold spot could face first resistance at $2199, while the second resistance could be at $2215.

Gold bears could have their target for spot gold at $1974 and futures at $1986 by March 27, 2024.

On the first trading session of this week, gold futures started with a little gap-down opening at $2181.73, hit the day’s high at $2189.11, struggling to defend the day’s low at $2174.94 due to the thick presence of bears in the overbought territory.

It is clear that gold futures have completed the formation of a bearish candle in the daily chart and could get a confirmation candle on Tuesday before sliding further.

***

Disclaimer: The author of this analysis may or may not have any position in the Gold futures. All the Readers are requested to take any long or short trading position at their own risk.

Add a Comment

Natural Gas Faces Breakdown Risk With Key Support at $3.9117 Under... By Satendra Singh - Feb 28, 2025

Analyzing the movements of the natural gas futures since I wrote my last analysis, I anticipate that the natural gas futures will likely start next week with a gap-down opening if...

Crude Oil Falls Amid Uncertainty, While European Gas Hits New Lows By Warren Patterson - Feb 27, 2025

Oil prices are largely under pressure amid demand concerns, while the European gas market continues to sell off aggressively Energy – TTF Sell-Off Continues Oil prices continued...

Gold: Is It Time for the US to Revalue Its Reserves? By Frank Holmes - Feb 25, 2025

Gold prices surged to an all-time high of $2,940 per ounce last Thursday, pushing its market cap above $20 trillion for the first time ever, as trade tensions between the U.S. and...

Add a Comment

We encourage you to use comments to engage with users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind:

Enrich the conversation
Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically.
Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases.
NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and links within a comment will be removed
Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user.
Don’t Monopolize the Conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also believe strongly in giving everyone a chance to air their thoughts. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
Only English comments will be allowed.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

I have read and understood Investing.com Australia's comment guidelines and agree to the terms described.

I Agree

Write your thoughts here

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Post also to:

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.

<div id="comment">
				<div class="comment js-comment" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
    <div class="mainComment js-content">
       <div class="commentInnerWrapper">
        <a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody">
                					<span class="commentUsername">
                    	<a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link js-user-name">{username}</a>
					</span>
                                <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
                <div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

<div class="js-option addRow follow">
            <div class="js-follow-post-button" data-reg_ep="follow comment">
                <span class="alertfollowIcon middle"></span>Follow this post            </div>
            <div class="js-unfollow-post-button displayNoneImp">
                <span class="alertUnfollowIcon middle"></span>Unfollow this post            </div>
        </div>

<div class="addRow js-option save"  data-reg_ep="save comment">
		<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-save-item-btn" data-item-type="comments" data-item-id="{commentID}">
			<i class="saveItemBigIcon middle"></i>
			Save		</a>
	</div>
	<div class="addRow saveItemsConfirmation noHover displayNone js-saveItemResult">
		
<div class="content js-saveItemSuccess displayNone">
	<span class="mediumGreenSuccessIcon"></span><span>Saved. See <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a>.</span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
<div class="content js-saveItemAlreadySaved saveItemAlreadySaved displayNoneImp">
	<span>This comment has already been saved in your <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a></span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
	</div>

<div class="addRow shareButtons js-sharePopup displayNone">
			<div class="js-shareComment"><span class="js-shareCommentSpan"></span></div>
		</div>
	</div>
</div>
                 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div>             </div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="commentBigChart js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
					<img src="https://d70-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

<div class="reportComment js-flag float_lang_base_2">
                            <a href="javascript:void(0);" id="commentFlag_{commentID}">
                                <span class="reportCommentIcon middle"></span><span class="inlineblock middle">Report</span>
                            </a>
                        </div>
                    				</div>
					</div>
	   </div>
	</div>
	</div>			</div>
			<div id="reply">
				
    <div class="commentReply js-comment js-comment-reply" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
		<div class="commentInnerWrapper"><a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody js-content">
            				<span class="commentUsername">
					<a href="{userLink}" class="commentUsername js-user-link js-user-name" onMouseOver="">{username}</a>
				</span>
                        <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
			 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div> 			<div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

</div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="replyBigChart displayNone js-comment-chart">
					<img src="https://d70-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
				<span id="commentSmallChart{commentID}" class="commentSmallChart pointer js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
                    <img src="https://d70-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImageSmall}" width="116" height="52" alt="{commentAlt}">
                    <span class="chartMagnifyOverlay displayNone"></span>
                    <span class="searchGlassIcon chartMagnify displayNone"></span>
                </span>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

I feel that this comment is:

Spam

Offensive

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review

More Categories

1D1W1M6M1Y5YMax

S&P/ASX 200	8,172.40	-95.80	-1.16%
ASX 200 Futures	8,140.0	-52.5	-0.64%
ASX All Ordinaries	8,403.90	-102.20	-1.20%
US 500	5,946.9	+85.2	+1.45%
Dow Jones	43,840.91	+601.41	+1.39%
China A50 Futures	13,228.5	-140.0	-1.05%
Dollar Index	107.56	+0.38	+0.35%

Crude Oil WTI	69.76	-0.59	-0.84%
Natural Gas	3.834	-0.100	-2.54%
Gold	2,862.20	-33.70	-1.16%
Silver	31.346	-0.455	-1.43%
Copper	4.5690	-0.0500	-1.08%
US Sugar #11	18.52	-0.37	-1.96%
US Coffee C	373.05	-0.55	-0.15%

Australia 10Y	4.351	+0.050	+1.16%
Australia 5Y	3.881	+0.036	+0.94%
New Zealand 10Y	4.502	-0.103	-2.17%
U.S. 10Y	4.202	-0.063	-1.41%
Japan 10Y	1.364	-0.010	-0.73%
China 10Y	1.775	-0.013	-0.73%
Singapore 10Y	2.721	-0.032	-1.09%

CSL	260.57	+0.28	+0.11%
Woolworths	30.010	-0.690	-2.25%
ANZ Holdings	29.790	-0.100	-0.33%
Commonwealth Bank Australia	156.740	+0.450	+0.29%
Telstra Group	4.140	+0.030	+0.73%
National Australia Bank	35.300	-0.150	-0.42%
BHP Group Ltd	39.040	-0.980	-2.45%

	Interest Rates	Next Meeting
RBA	4.10%	Apr 01, 2025
BOE	4.50%	Mar 20, 2025
ECB	2.90%	Mar 06, 2025
FED	4.50%	Mar 19, 2025
SNB	0.50%	Mar 20, 2025
BOC	3.00%	Mar 12, 2025
RBNZ	3.75%	Apr 09, 2025
BOJ	0.50%	Mar 19, 2025
CBR	21.00%	Mar 21, 2025
RBI	6.25%	Mar 10, 2025
PBOC	3.10%
BCB	13.25%	Mar 19, 2025

The Gold Bubble Looks Ready to Burst

Observations

Conclusion

Related Articles