Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

RBA increases cash rate by 50 basis points for July

Published 05/07/2022, 03:29 pm
Updated 09/07/2023, 08:32 pm

At its July monetary policy meeting the Reserve Bank increased the cash rate by 50bps - it now sits at 1.35%.

This marks the third month in a row of RBA rate increases, and the second month in a row of an outsized 50 basis point increase.

Reserve Bank Governor Dr Philip Lowe said there are a lot of uncertainties in the domestic and international economies.

"One source of ongoing uncertainty about the economic outlook is the behaviour of household spending. The recent spending data have been positive, although household budgets are under pressure from higher prices and higher interest rates," Dr Lowe said.

"Housing prices have also declined in some markets over recent months after the large increases of recent years. The household saving rate remains higher than it was before the pandemic and many households have built up large financial buffers and are benefiting from stronger income growth.

"The Board will be paying close attention to these various influences on household spending as it assesses the appropriate setting of monetary policy.

The Board will also be paying close attention to the global outlook, which remains clouded by the war in Ukraine and its effect on the prices for energy and agricultural commodities.

"Real household incomes are under pressure in many economies and financial conditions are tightening, as central banks increase interest rates. There are also ongoing uncertainties related to COVID, especially in China."

Dr Lowe and the RBA expect inflation to be persistently high in justification for the 50 basis point increase - the Governor expects inflation to be as high as 7% by year's end.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

A 50 basis point increase was largely consensus among Australia's leading economists, with only a few outliers forecasting smaller or larger movements to make the cash rate a more normalised figure.

PropTrack senior economist Eleanor Creagh said the RBA's aim is to front load the interest rate hikes.

"This is a rapid policy tightening and whilst high household debt and weak sentiment is a risk, these factors are offset by the tight labour market, promoting a degree of confidence and job security and hopefully, in turn, stronger wages growth. In addition, households are sitting on large savings buffers," Ms Creagh said.

Inflation would have been more of a concern had the RBA increased the cash rate by only 25 basis points, according to CMC Markets analyst Azeem Sheriff.

"The next two CPI [inflation] prints are scheduled to be released on 27th July and 26th October 2022 for quarter-two and quarter-three respectively and therefore will significantly dictate whether the following months will carry a 25 basis point or 50 basis point hike," Mr Sheriff said.

"I don’t believe there is sufficient justification to allow a 75bps [like in the United States] hike unless inflation just skyrockets."

"RBA increases cash rate by 50 basis points for July" was originally published on Savings.com.au and was republished with permission.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.