Breaking News
Get Actionable Insights with InvestingPro+: Start 7 Day FREE Trial Register here
Investing Pro 0
Ad-Free Version. Upgrade your Investing.com experience. Save up to 40% More details

Monthly Wrap Up

By Jack DavisMarket OverviewFeb 01, 2017 13:34
au.investing.com/analysis/monthly-wrap-up-200174259
Monthly Wrap Up
By Jack Davis   |  Feb 01, 2017 13:34
Saved. See Saved Items.
This article has already been saved in your Saved Items
 

Originally published by Chamber of Merchants

By The Speculator

What a roller coaster of a month. It started out good and up until the 25th, the USD gold price and the miners we up 6% and 15% respectively. In the last week we had a pullback that brought gold to the 38% retracement level of $1183, closing at $1190.

At the end of every month I’ll provide a summary of the position changes. Depending on the week end dates it may be 1-2 days earlier. Lets take a look at how we went – and please post your results if you don’t mind. We are all on this ride together after all.

Table
Table

Lets take a look at the charts:

USD Gold 4HR – Looking good so far

Chart
Chart

USD Gold with AUD Overlay – What a run on the Aussie Dollar – expecting it to pull back next month

Chart
Chart

AUD Gold – Pretty much did nothing all month with an $11 loss

Chart
Chart

While the iShares S&P/TSX Global Gold (TO:XGD) was up 9%, how did the individual stocks fare. Here is a list of the companies I am following. Note I do not own all of them.

Blackham Resources Ltd (AX:BLK) +47%
Dacian Gold Ltd (AX:DCN) +16%
Doray Minerals Ltd (AX:DRM) +6%
Emmerson Resources Ltd (AX:ERM) -12%
Evolution Mining Ltd (AX:EVN) +2%
Gold Road Resources Ltd (AX:GOR) -2%
Millennium (AX:MOY) +22%
Northern Star Resources Ltd (AX:NST) +4%
Primary Gold Ltd (AX:PGO) +10%
Ramelius Resources Ltd (AX:RMS) +16%
Resolute Mining Ltd (AX:RSG) +10%
Saracen Mineral Holdings Ltd (AX:SAR) +8%
Silver Lake Resources Ltd (AX:SLR) +2%
St Barbara Ltd (AX:SBM) +14%
Troy Resources Ltd (AX:TRY) -7%
Westgold Resources Ltd (AX:WGX) +18%

After reading the latest post from the Merchant it seems some people are losing money trading these stocks. My strategy is different to the Merchant. I am buying and holding for the eventual spike in gold (1-3 years). I suck at trading so I stay away from it. Perhaps that is something you should think about if you are constantly losing money, and if your trading through an Australian broker those commissions add up! One thing I do agree with is to not listen to the forum posters, do your own research.

So what happened this month, if you ignore all the noise – nothing much. It was mostly dominated by the new US President Donald Trump and his new policies. Here is a break down of events that I think are worth mentioning:

  • Bitcoin started the year on a high as the best performing currency 2 years in a row. Peaking at $1157 on Jan 5th it soon came crashing down falling to $765 just 1 week later – down 34% in a week. For the last few weeks it has slowly been trending higher. Expect more volatility as China implements capital controls.
  • The latest report from the Institute for International Finance released shows that as of Q3 2016 world debt had increased to 217 Trillion. Global debt levels sit roughly 325% of the world’s gross domestic product and growing exponentially.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average crossed 20,000 on Jan 25th with the S&P 500 crossing 2300 one day later. Both closed the month at record highs. These parabolic moves are well into the blow off stage.
  • World market index closed in on record highs boosted by the US stock markets.
  • Trump sworn in as president of the USA on Jan 20th. Gave a good speech but nothing to really move any of the markets.
  • Trumps immigration policy has been enforced banning anyone from Syria, Iraq, Iran, Sudan, Libya, Somalia and Yemen to enter the country. Protests are going on and just reported was a partial block of Trump immigration order by a federal judge. This one should be interesting.
  • No major terror attacks, ISIS seems to be in hibernation mode.

The stage is being set for a wild 2017 in my opinion. While nothing earth shattering happened this month. Stay tuned for an exciting time ahead.

On a final note the US debt us currently at $19,967,500,000,000+

Monthly Wrap Up
 

Related Articles

David Bassanese
Growth scare By David Bassanese - May 16, 2022

Global markets It was another challenging week for global markets, not helped by a higher than expected U.S. inflation report and a concession by Fed chair Powell that he might...

Monthly Wrap Up

Add a Comment

Comment Guidelines

We encourage you to use comments to engage with users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind: 

  • Enrich the conversation
  • Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
  • Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically.
  •  Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases.
  • NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and links within a comment will be removed
  • Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user.
  • Don’t Monopolize the Conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also believe strongly in giving everyone a chance to air their thoughts. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
  • Only English comments will be allowed.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

Write your thoughts here
 
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
 
Post
Post also to:
 
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
1000
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.
 
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
 
Post
 
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
1000
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Add Chart to Comment
Confirm Block

Are you sure you want to block %USER_NAME%?

By doing so, you and %USER_NAME% will not be able to see any of each other's Investing.com's posts.

%USER_NAME% was successfully added to your Block List

Since you’ve just unblocked this person, you must wait 48 hours before renewing the block.

Report this comment

I feel that this comment is:

Comment flagged

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review
Continue with Google
or
Sign up with Email