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Australian dollar pukes as China sickens

Published 26/04/2023, 09:43 am
Updated 09/07/2023, 08:32 pm

Now things are getting interesting. DXY was bid last night as EUR reversed:

DXY

AUD puked:

AUDUSD

Gold held on but commods were pulverised:

BRENT
COPPER

Big miners (NYSE:RIO) have fallen down a shaft:

RIO

EM stocks (NYSE:EEM) are at the neckline of a bizarre head and shoulder pattern:

EEM

But junk (NYSE:HYG) is OK:

HYG

As Treasuries are bid:

YIELDS

And stocks swoon:

SPX

(NYSE:KRE) broke:

KRE

The market is awakening to the fact that the Chinese recovery, such as it is, is not going to add to global net demand. It is domestic and services driven. Hot money is fleeing Chinese stocks and commodities:

HSI TECH
CHINEXT

CNY is taking a bath and is always bad for AUD:

CNYUSD

The post-October risk rally was based upon the China reopening and an end to Europe’s energy woes. The former is breaking down, the latter will come in due course as markets sell Europe as a China proxy.

Amazingly, markets are still short DXY going into this:

DXY_SHORTS

With the Fed still tightening and the debt-ceiling shock fast approaching, AUD is about as appealing as a pool of vomit.

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