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Australian dollar bear market bounces

Published 23/11/2022, 10:50 am
AUD/USD
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EEM
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LCO
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ESZ24
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HYG
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DXY
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DXY softened last night:

 
DXY

AUD firmed:

AUD

All of the usual followed with EM (NYSE:EEM), junk (NYSE:HYG)and commods up:

BRENT
COPPER
RIO
EEM
HYG

But curve inversion got deeper again in the US:

Stocks are trading on DXY only:

SPX

There’s some improvement in Fed nowcasted inflation with all measures converging on the CorePCE at around 5% annualised:

INFLATION

As GDPNow booms:

GDPNOW

There’s more headline inflation relief ahead but how the Fed can do anything but keep hiking aggressively with 4% GDP and 5% inflation is not clear to me.

The pace of hikes may be about to slow but they are still 50bps hikes!

Clearly AUD negative.

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