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FX markets continue to be buffeted by opposing forces and are struggling to define short-term trends. Despite some positive Chinese activity data, Asian currencies are not rallying, suggesting that...
Markets have been more stable so far this week, as investors’ assessment of the risks to European lenders have improved. This has supported the European stock markets and the single...
In this week’s newsletter, we’re going to provide you with an inflation update based on some of last week’s important data releases and also share some general thoughts on risk...
The recent failure of two US banks, SVB and Signature, have understandably triggered a major re-appraisal of Fed tightening prospects. This has seen two-year EUR/USD swap rate differentials move to...
The S&P 500 closed down 1.8% yesterday led by financials (-4%). Heavy losses for SVB Financial (NASDAQ:SIVB), a California-based lender to the venture capital industry, are raising questions over...
Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp hike and hinted at a higher peak rate in his semi-annual testimony. This was a reminder that picking the top in the dollar rally remains too risky....
USD/JPY is picking up some upside momentum once again after BOJ leadership candidate Kazuo Ueda appeared in front of parliament last week. He supported the current ultra-loose monetary policy as...
Most macro commentary focuses on the US. But over the last few months, the real golden kid has been Europe.Recently, the euro has appreciated 10%+ against the US Dollar, macro data seems to suggest a...
USD: A delicate balance Another day and another piece of positive US activity data. Yesterday saw a strong January retail sales release. Though boosted by warmer weather, the data still positively...
DXY sure looks like it is consolidating for another leg higher as EUR breaks down: AUD has little head and shoulders top:Gold held on. If oil is forming an uptrend then pain is the name of the...
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