Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Last month I reported that the ‘fair value’ of the US 10-year Treasury yield appeared “lofty” relative to the average estimate for a combination model. In the weeks since, the...

Bond market returns for 2022 have been horrific, right along the credit curve. For 2023, returns will be helped by a higher starting running yield and subsequent falls in market rates. Bonds will be a...

The recent rise in real yields for inflation-indexed Treasuries (TIPS) looks compelling for locking in relatively attractive payout rates, but the usual risks with bonds still applies. That...

2-year Treasury rates could be on their way to between 4% and 4.25% Fed monetary policy could be the main driver The 2-year appears to be breaking out from a technical standpoint Rates have been...

Treasury rates fell sharply as interest rate volatility dropped High-yield bonds rose big last month, but uncertainty lies ahead Traders monitoring important technical pattern on U.S. 10-year yield...

Avoiding another 75-basis-point hike in September looks tough Policymakers say focus should be on inflation, not recession Central banks, including the Fed, made mistakes that have led to...

The MOVE Index measures Treasury rate volatility through options pricing Daily bond market swings are the wildest since the Global Financial Crisis  Yield volatility and credit spreads are key...

Investors in US Treasuries face a dilemma as they are caught between an economy that seems very strong but faces challenges from soaring inflation and Federal Reserve rate hikes to cut it off and keep...

This article was written exclusively for Investing.comThe iShares U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF suffered its worst back-to-back daily drop since COVID Broad fixed income is down close to 30%, after...

Yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury soared more than 20 basis points on Monday, rising to 3.37% as bond investors bet the Federal Reserve would have to get more aggressive about hiking interest...

Surging inflation and sinking bond markets have shifted to Europe this week, as initial CPI readings in the European Union point to accelerating price increases of more than 8% on the year.German...

In normal times, stocks and bonds are negatively correlated—that is when stock prices tank, bond prices rise (and yields, which move inversely to prices, go down). The idea is that investors...

Up, down, up, down—US Treasury yields are bouncing around as investors try to balance worries about inflation with concern about a global economic slowdown, or even a recession.Good news, bad...

Bond investors are confused—and no wonder. Central bank officials keep telling them to ignore the evidence in front of their eyes. They are supposed to believe that inflation, which has been...