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Australian dollar falls as COVID Frankenstein returns to its maker

Published 04/04/2022, 08:48 am
Updated 09/07/2023, 08:32 pm
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DXY was up Friday night:

 

AUD rose on the crosses but fell versus DXY:

Oil plunged:

Metals are no longer used in China!

EM stocks (NYSE:EEM) sputtered:

Junk (NYSE:HYG) rolled:

The curve was mown down and inversion deepened:

Stocks held on but recession fears are growing:

US jobs were stellar:

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 431,000 in March, and the unemployment rate declined to 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains continued in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, retail trade, and manufacturing.

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for January was revised up by 23,000, from +481,000 to +504,000, and the change for February was revised up by 72,000, from +678,000 to +750,000. With these revisions, employment in January and February combined is 95,000 higher than previously reported.

But wage growth slowed a little to 0.4% month-on-month in March, up from 0.1% in February, and 5.6% from 5.2% year-on-year.

For me, however, the bigger news is now China and its battle with its Frankenstein child returning home to seek out its maker. 13k cases of COVID cases were reported Sunday, nearly double Friday, Shanghai was locked down and Sanya paralysed.

It looks to me like OMICRON will require rolling lockdowns in major cities ad nauseum and activity is already falling:

As Europe and US consumption slows sharply on their own shocks – war, energy and interest rates – and normalising services spending hits goods demand even harder, stalling Chinese domestic demand is about to be hammered with an external shock.

Buy commodities and AUD if you want!

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