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In Q1 2024, the US crossed the historic milestone of paying over $1 trillion on interest payments. As a consequence of an unprecedented $5 trillion money supply boost since 2020, the US experienced an...
Yesterday’s first-quarter GDP report delivered a one-two punch for markets: slower-than-expected growth and hotter-than-expected inflation. In reaction, stocks fell and US Treasury yields rose....
The latest retail sales data suggests a robust consumer, leading economists to become even more optimistic about more robust economic growth this year. To wit: “It has been two years since...
GDP and PCE inflation data disappointed yesterday. This data raises the question: will it be possible to beat inflation without triggering a recession? Meanwhile, the US dollar has corrected, with...
US 10-Year moved sharply higher on surprise GDP report. What's next? Original Post
The HEM is a benchmark used by many lenders to estimate a borrower’s living expenses, helping to determine how much someone can afford in home loan repayments.It is designed to be used to...
Risk markets were spooked overnight by forecast US GDP figures just as tonight’s latest PCE print is predicted to come in hotter than expected. The twin whammy of low growth and higher inflation...
The airline industry is gearing up for what could be a record-breaking summer travel season, if forecasts turn out to be correct. Despite challenges such as the Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX 9 grounding...
Stocks finished flattish on the day, but we are moving into the busiest part of the week. Now that Meta’s results are out of the way, we will have GDP and PCE to finish the week off, along with...
To be successful, active investors have to watch (and create) indicators that the mainstream media do not follow.Trading is hard, requiring discipline and a strict set of rules. Today, we look at a...
The average 12-month trailing yield for the major asset classes has ticked up so far this year, based on a set of proxy ETFs through yesterday’s close (Apr. 23) vs. early...
The bad news is that the contraction in the money supply appears to be over. That’s not bad news per se (see below), but it’s bad in that the anti-inflationary work that was happening is...
The latest inflation figures have been revealed, providing much-awaited relief for the three-million Australians holding HECS-HELP debts. Key points The latest inflation data has set the stage for...
A spike in tech stocks on Wall Street saw a continued rebound overnight as earnings season rolls on with European stocks also seeing a strong bid despite a lift in Euro as the USD pulled back from its...
The US economy appears on track to post softer growth in the first-quarter GDP report scheduled for release on Thursday (Apr. 25), based on the median for a set of nowcasts compiled by...