Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

UPDATE 1-Full-time work makes a welcome comeback in Australia

Published 15/12/2016, 01:51 pm
Updated 15/12/2016, 02:00 pm
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-Full-time work makes a welcome comeback in Australia

* Employment +39,100 in Nov, beats forecasts of +20,000

* Full-time jobs up 80,000 in 2 months, reversing months of falls

* Unemployment ticks up to 5.7 pct as more look for work (Adds budget review)

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, Dec 15 (Reuters) - Australian employment proved surprisingly strong in November as full-time jobs made a comeback after a very tough year, a welcome counterweight to recent gloom over weak third-quarter growth.

Thursday's data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed employment rose a net 39,100 in November, handily outpacing forecasts of a 20,000 gain. October's report was also revised upward to show an increase of 15,200.

The unemployment rate did tick up to 5.7 percent, from a three-year low of 5.6 percent, but only because more people went looking for work.

Crucially, full-time jobs bounced by 39,300 and brought the gains since September to over 84,000, almost recovering all the losses suffered since January.

"Suddenly the trend for full-time employment looks to be improving relative to part-time employment," said Shane Oliver, head of economics at AMP Capital. "The figures look a bit stronger than previously thought."

The prevalence of part-time work over full-time has been a feature of the labour market this year and one not welcomed by the government since it crimps both incomes and tax revenue.

That will be a much-needed tonic for Treasurer Scott Morrison who has to hand down the government's mid-year budget review next week and faces the threat of a credit downgrade if his path to a surplus is not seen as credible.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

S&P Global has repeatedly warned it could cut Australia's prized AAA rating if the budget outlook continues to slip, a real risk given the economy shrank by 0.5 percent in the third quarter for the first contraction since 2011.

The better jobs data also helped steady the local currency around $0.7420 AUD=D4 , after a hike in U.S. interest rates lifted its U.S. counterpart across the board.

The futures market 0#YIB: slightly pared back the chance of a cut in interest rates from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), though the probability had already been under 20 percent.

There were even some tentative signs of a jobs turnaround in the states of Western Australia and Queensland, which have been particularly hard hit by a long slump in mining investment.

All the losses in full-time jobs up to October had been concentrated in those two states, but November saw an increase of 25,300 in Queensland and 11,100 in Western Australia.

The outlook for miners has brightened in recent months as prices for key commodities rallied sharply. Just this week coking coal contract prices for the first quarter of 2017 were set at $285 a tonne, the highest since late 2011 and up from $81 at the start of this year.

The RBA estimates the rundown in mining investment is now more than 80 percent complete, a point emphasised by Governor Philip Lowe in a speech last month.

"There are reasonable prospects for stronger growth of nominal demand in the mining states and, by extension, for the economy overall," was Lowe's hopeful conclusion.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.