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Australia, NZ dollars look to end upbeat week on firm note

Published 11/01/2019, 01:49 pm
Updated 11/01/2019, 01:50 pm
© Reuters.  Australia, NZ dollars look to end upbeat week on firm note
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By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, Jan 11 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on track to end the week with solid gains on Friday, buoyed by another promise of policy patience from the Federal Reserve and news of a new round of talks on the Sino-U.S. trade dispute.

The Aussie dollar AUD=D3 was a fraction firmer at $0.7191, having touched a top of $0.7205 overnight. That left it 1.2 percent higher for the week and a world away from last week's "flash crash" low of $0.6715.

The kiwi dollar NZD=D3 was steady at $0.6792 after it stopped short of resistance around $0.6817, but was still up 0.7 percent for the week.

The Aussie got a domestic lift from data showing retail sales just pipped forecasts with a rise of 0.4 percent in November, suggesting consumer spending picked up somewhat after a very soft third quarter. risk to our Q4 consumption input into economic growth is now skewed a little to the upside," said Robert Thompson, macro rates strategist at RBC Capital Markets.

"Spending benefited from the increasing impact of November sales events including Black Friday," he added. "The major caveat is that it could represent some pulling forward of Christmas-time consumption out of December."

Risk sentiment had already got a fillip when U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Chinese Vice Premier Liu He will "most likely" visit Washington later in January for trade talks. tentative sign of progress was enough to push the Chinese yuan to its highest since July, and the Aussie was dragged along as a liquid proxy.

Weighing on the U.S. dollar was another round of dovish comments from top Fed officials. Chairman Jerome Powell on Thursday stressed the central bank would be patient and careful on further rate increases. Chair Richard Clarida said it would not want to wait too long before responding to a persistent slowdown in global growth before adjusting policy to offset that. global bond market had been rallying for weeks in anticipation of a Fed shift and confirmation has led to some profit taking in recent days.

Ten-year Australian government bond futures YTCc1 eased 1 tick on Friday to 97.6700, leaving them down 9.5 ticks for the week. The three-year contract YTTc1 dipped 1.5 ticks to 98.185, but was off just a fraction for the week.

New Zealand government bond 0#NZTSY= yields nudged up around 2 ticks across the curve on Friday. (Editing by Richard Borsuk)

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