🔺 What to do when markets are at an all-time high? Find smart bargains, like these.See Undervalued Shares

UPDATE 1-NZ inflation subdued, no bar to rate cut

Published 16/10/2015, 10:35 am
UPDATE 1-NZ inflation subdued, no bar to rate cut
NZD/USD
-

* Quarterly CPI +0.3 pct

* Annual CPI +0.4 pct

* Quarterly non-tradable CPI flat (Adds analyst quote, market reaction)

By Charlotte Greenfield and Ian Chua

WELLINGTON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - New Zealand inflation cooled slightly in the third quarter, but not by as much as expected, while a measure of domestically generated price pressure came in flat, a benign outcome that should give the central bank room to cut interest rates if needed.

The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.3 percent in the third quarter, taking the annual rate to 0.4 percent, data from Statistics New Zealand showed on Friday.

That was well below the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) 1 to 3 percent target band.

Non-tradable CPI was flat for the quarter, its smallest movement in 14 years. Annual non-tradable inflation was 1.5 percent - the smallest annual increase since the December 2001 quarter when it also increased 1.5 percent.

It includes utilities provided locally such as electricity and personal services such as medical treatment.

"The standout feature is the slowdown in non-tradable inflation. Domestically-generated inflation has fallen away at a very sharp pace," said Michael Turner, strategist at RBC Capital Markets.

"Even when the economy was travelling well through 2014 it couldn't generate much inflation and now it's slowing. We still think they will cut rates later this month," he said, referring to the RBNZ's meeting to decide whether to change the official cash rate (OCR) on Oct 29.

The RBNZ cut the cash rate to 2.75 percent at its last meeting in September, the third easing in as many policy reviews to counter slowing economic growth. Some analysts suspect it may pause at this month's meeting.

A Reuters poll had forecast a quarterly rise for CPI of 0.2 percent and an annual rate of 0.3 percent. In its September monetary policy statement, the RBNZ had forecast an increase of 0.3 percent on the quarter and a 0.2 percent rise for annual CPI.

RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler this week noted that recent economic indicators have been more encouraging. He reiterated that "some further easing in the OCR seems likely but this will continue to depend on the emerging flow of economic data."

The rise in CPI was led by vegetables, which had a seasonal price increase, rising rents, particularly in Auckland, and local authority rates. Private transport and dairy prices decreased.

The New Zealand dollar NZD=D4 jumped a quarter of a U.S. cent in reaction to the forecast-beating result and reached a session high of $0.6897, retesting a 3-1/2 month peak set overnight. It has since returned to $0.6855, almost flat on the day.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.