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UPDATE 1-Fortescue's debt weathers downgrade despite iron ore doubts

Published 16/03/2016, 10:24 am
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-Fortescue's debt weathers downgrade despite iron ore doubts
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SYDNEY, March 15 (Reuters) - Lenders on Tuesday shrugged off the latest downgrade of Fortescue Metals Group FMG.AX , backing the Australian miner's ability to repay its debt amid a strong rebound in iron prices.

Moody's on Monday cut its rating on the world's no. 4 iron ore producer by one notch to Ba2 with a negative outlook, some two levels below investment-grade, pointing to a "fundamental downward shift" in the mining sector.

The downgrade highlighted the credit agency's doubts of a sustained rise in iron ore prices, and took Fortescue's rating to two levels below investment-grade, in line with Standard & Poor's, which cut nearly a year ago.

Bids on Fortescue's outstanding $2.3 billion high-yield bonds due March 2022 barely changed AU121210720= . The bonds are currently bid at 102.12 percent of par value, having traded as low as 81 percent on Jan. 15 before a steep rally in iron ore prices.

"Moody's move was already priced in and makes little fundamental difference because no new ground has been broken," said a Sydney bond investor.

For the miner's $4.9 billion U.S. loan, average bids were at 85.21 percent of par value as of Monday's close, unchanged from Friday's bids of 85.25 percent of par value, Thomson Reuters loan data showed.

The loan has climbed nearly 20 points since Jan. 21 on the recent surge in iron ore, one of this year's best performing commodities. The bond is yielding around 9.204 percent according to the data.

"It makes sense to pay off debt when their biggest bond pays a hefty 9.75 percent coupon when they sitting on a pile of cash," said a bond banker.

In the first half of 2016, Fortescue reduced net debt by $1.1 billion to $6.1 billion.

Fortescue Chief Financial Officer Stephen Pearce told Reuters last month the company could easily continue to pay down debt to meet its 40 percent debt-to-equity target. nL3N16268N

Fortescue said in a statement on Monday that the latest downgrade had no impact on its debt capital structure.

Iron ore's 30 percent price gain this year has defied most forecasts for weakening prices in 2016 due to low-cost supply from Australia and Brazil and weaker Chinese steel demand.

Citi analysts this month forecast prices of between $45 and $65 a tonne over the next six months, falling as low as $35 under a worst case scenario. Iron ore was last at $55.50 a tonne .IO62-CNI=SI .

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