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FOREX-Dollar off to subdued start, Aussie unmoved by China trade data

Published 09/05/2016, 09:47 am
Updated 09/05/2016, 09:50 am
© Reuters. FOREX-Dollar off to subdued start, Aussie unmoved by China trade data
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* Dollar little changed against euro and yen

* Aussie barely reacts to Chinese trade data

* Canadian dollar slips on wildfire worries, oil rallies

By Ian Chua

SYDNEY, May 9 (Reuters) - The dollar got off to a calm start on Monday following a choppy end to last week, while disappointing trade figures out of China barely dented an already defensive Australian dollar.

The dollar index was a touch firmer at 93.951 .DXY .

Against the yen, the greenback fetched 107.37 JPY= , while the euro hovered just under $1.1400 EUR= .

The dollar initially fell on Friday after headline payrolls data showed the U.S. economy added the fewest jobs in seven months in April. the market was quick to reverse positions on closer look at the numbers, which showed an encouraging pick-up in annual wage growth.

Also helping the dollar's rebound was New York Federal Reserve President William Dudley who said two U.S. rate hikes this year were still a "reasonable expectation".

All that left the dollar back at, or slightly firmer than, levels seen prior to the closely watched payrolls report.

"Higher than expected annual wage growth keeps alive Fed rate hike hopes, but the growing risk is a delayed Fed rate hike," said Richard Grace, chief currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank.

"This week we have April retail sales on Friday, and we anticipate some further modest strength in the USD as leading Q2 economic data improves."

In contrast, trade figures out of China on Sunday were clearly disappointing. Both exports and imports fell more than expected last month, underlining weak demand at home and abroad and dimming hopes of a recovery in the economy. the Australian dollar, often used as a liquid proxy for China plays, managed to shrug off the data.

The Aussie had already been heavily sold off after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) last Friday slashed its inflation forecasts, prompting markets to fully price in another cut in interest rates this year. Aussie dropped more than 3 percent - its second worst weekly performance this year, reaching a two-month trough of $0.7338. It last traded at $0.7375.

Also under pressure, the Canadian dollar slid to a three-week low of C$1.2960 per USD CAD=D4 , before drifting back to C$1.2928.

News of Canada's most destructive wildfire in recent memory unsettled the loonie first thing on Monday.

Oil prices though rallied more than 2 percent as supply outages persisted from the wildfires that have shut half of Canada's vast oil sands capacity.

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