Rosenblatt raises Palo Alto Networks target to $235 on strong outlook

Published 11/02/2025, 11:30 pm
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On Tuesday, Rosenblatt Securities adjusted its price target for Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW) stock, increasing it to $235 from the previous $212.50, while reaffirming a Buy rating. The cybersecurity giant, currently valued at $128.88 billion, is trading near its 52-week high of $207.24, with InvestingPro analysis suggesting the stock is trading above its Fair Value. The firm anticipates a robust second quarter for the fiscal year 2025, driven by several factors including a firewall refresh cycle, successful adoption of Cortex/XSIAM, and solid customer retention for Prisma Cloud.

Palo Alto Networks is scheduled to release its quarterly results on Thursday, February 13, 2025, after the market closes, with a conference call to follow at 4:30 pm ET. With impressive metrics including a 74.17% gross profit margin and 15% revenue growth in the last twelve months, InvestingPro subscribers have access to 15+ additional key insights about PANW’s financial health. Industry contacts have indicated strong performance for the quarter, which could lead to the company surpassing analyst expectations for revenue and earnings.

A significant deal with the UK Emergency Services Network, valued at over $120 million in annual recurring revenue, along with the integration of Cortex/XISAM into the company’s extensive firewall customer base, is expected to propel Next-Generation Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) beyond the company’s projected growth range of 35%-36%. This reflects the effectiveness of Palo Alto Networks’ platform strategy in leveraging enterprise organizations’ vendor consolidation activities.

Rosenblatt has forecasted a 20% growth in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), aligning with both Street estimates and the company’s guidance of 20%-21%. Additionally, the firm anticipates a slight increase in revenue growth of 13% year-over-year, which is consistent with both Street estimates and the midpoint of the company’s guidance. This expectation is underpinned by a solid firewall refresh cycle currently underway.

The recent restructuring of sales leadership at Palo Alto Networks is expected to have a positive impact on operating margins, which are currently projected at 27.8%. This optimization is likely to result in earnings per share (EPS) outperforming Rosenblatt’s and Street’s estimate of $0.78, and exceeding the company’s guidance range of $0.77-$0.78. The strong performance anticipated for this quarter is also expected to have a favorable effect on the fiscal year 2025 guidance.

The new price target of $235 is based on a 14x enterprise value to calendar year 2026 estimated sales multiple, a revision from the previous target that was based on a 14.8x multiple for calendar year 2025 estimated sales. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 46.39, InvestingPro data reveals the company maintains a moderate debt level with strong cash flows to cover obligations. This adjustment brings the valuation in line with the current average of the peer group, which has seen a multiple expansion of approximately 26% year-to-date. Rosenblatt justifies this expansion with Palo Alto Networks’ forecasted free cash flow (FCF) growth of 38%, surpassing the peer group’s average growth of 26%.

In other recent news, Palo Alto Networks has been the subject of several analyst reports. KeyBanc Capital Markets increased their price target on Palo Alto Networks to $240, maintaining an Overweight rating. The firm noted an optimistic sentiment among the company’s partners and an encouraging fiscal second-quarter setup. TD Cowen reiterated a Buy rating on Palo Alto Networks with a $210 target price, citing anticipation of a strong demand rebound for the company’s Next-Generation Security products.

RBC Capital Markets reaffirmed their Outperform rating and a $225 price target, highlighting strong performance from the company’s Cortex and XDR offerings. Barclays (LON:BARC) maintained an Overweight rating with a steady price target of $213, projecting approximately 9% year-over-year growth in second-quarter Remaining Performance Obligations bookings. RBC Capital Markets also noted that Palo Alto Networks is well-positioned to benefit from advancements in generative artificial intelligence, reporting AI Annual Recurring Revenue of approximately $250 million last quarter.

These recent developments underscore the analysts’ positive outlook on Palo Alto Networks, based on the company’s robust product offerings and strong performance.

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