BofA cuts PACCAR stock price target to $120, maintains buy rating

Published 29/01/2025, 10:00 pm
BofA cuts PACCAR stock price target to $120, maintains buy rating

On Wednesday, BofA Securities adjusted its price target for PACCAR (NASDAQ:PCAR) shares, bringing it down marginally to $120 from $121.50, while reaffirming a Buy rating on the stock. The revision comes after a close analysis of PACCAR's fourth-quarter performance, which indicated that the company's gross margin is showing signs of stabilization. According to InvestingPro data, PACCAR maintains a "GREAT" financial health score of 3.26 out of 5, though current market prices suggest the stock may be trading above its Fair Value.

PACCAR's Q4 gross margin met the provided guidance, registering at 15.9%, which aligns with the forecast range of 15.5-16%. This performance suggests that the period between Q4 and the first quarter (Q1) of 2025 may represent the lowest point for the company's gross margins. BofA Securities' assessment acknowledges that while PACCAR's earnings per share (EPS) of $1.66, a 39% decline year-over-year, matched BofA's expectations of $1.65, the results came amidst higher unit deliveries of 43.9k compared to the anticipated 42k. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company has maintained dividend payments for 55 consecutive years, currently offering an attractive 4.03% yield.

Despite the delivery numbers exceeding projections, PACCAR still faces near-term risks associated with pricing. Additionally, public truck capital expenditure budgets have so far shown little change. Nonetheless, BofA Securities sees positive aspects in PACCAR's business mix, which they consider underappreciated for its resilience. Notably, the Parts segment now constitutes 37% of the company's pre-tax profit for Q4. Furthermore, progress in inventory management, both at dealers and the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) level, is viewed as a promising development.

The investment firm's stance reflects a belief in PACCAR's ability to navigate through current challenges, with particular emphasis on the strength of its Parts division and effective inventory strategies. The revised price target and sustained Buy rating indicate BofA Securities' continued confidence in PACCAR's financial outlook despite the slight adjustment in the stock's valuation. With last twelve months revenue of $34.8 billion and an impressive 27% return on equity, PACCAR demonstrates strong operational performance. For deeper insights into PACCAR's valuation and financial metrics, access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro, which covers over 1,400 top US stocks with expert analysis and actionable intelligence.

In other recent news, PACCAR Inc's fourth-quarter earnings and revenue results did not meet analyst expectations. The machinery giant reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.66, falling short of both Citi's projection of $1.75 and the consensus estimate of $1.69. Similarly, the company's revenue came in approximately 5% below what analysts had forecasted. Despite these developments, PACCAR maintains robust financial health with a strong current ratio of 5.34 and has impressively maintained dividend payments for 55 consecutive years.

On the analyst front, Citi's Kyle Menges revised the price target for PACCAR shares, reducing it to $112 from the previous $115 while maintaining a Neutral rating. Meanwhile, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James' Tim Thein maintained a Market Perform rating on PACCAR's stock. Thein noted that the company's total gross margins reached 15.9%, which was slightly better than expected.

In other company news, PACCAR anticipates a sequential decline in both Truck deliveries and margins for the first quarter. However, the company expressed confidence in a recovery during the second half of the year. In addition, PACCAR Parts achieved record annual revenue of $6.67 billion in 2024, marking a 4% increase year-over-year. These are among the recent developments for PACCAR.

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