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James Picerno

www.CapitalSpectator.com
  • Analysis & Opinion

James Picerno's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of James Picerno's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

The week ahead will provide early clues for two very different risk factors looming for the bond market. On the one hand, the on-again/off-again risk of tariffs is lurking – a development that could...
The long-run expected total return for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked higher for a third straight month in June, rising to an annualized 7.3% from the 7.2% estimate in the previous month....
Stocks in emerging markets extended their rally in June, posting the strongest gain for the major asset classes last month, based on a set of ETFs. A broad measure of US equities delivered a robust...
For a brief few weeks it looked like the jig was up. But the selling wave has all but faded as sentiment has recovered and markets have rebounded from the perspective of a high-level global asset...
The Federal Reserve’s wait-and-see approach for monetary policy is starting to crack, or so markets are indicating. The central bank is still expected to leave interest rates unchanged at the next...
In line with the strong rally in foreign equities year to date, bond markets ex-US are also posting solid gains, based on a set of ETFs through Wednesday’s close (June 25). Foreign corporate bonds...
Despite war, tariffs and a host of other threats that weigh on the outlook for the global economy, the rise of the international equity premium over US stocks remains intact this year, based on a set...
It’s been less than a week since Fed Chairman Powell said the central bank remained in a wait-and-see mode for deciding if tariff-related inflation was a significant risk factor that would delay...
The potential for a wider Middle East war has been lurking ever since Israel first attacked Iran more than a week ago. The risk may have increased after the US strike on Iran over the weekend. But...
Every corner of the US bond market has rallied year to date, led by intermediate Treasuries, based on a set of ETFs through Wednesday’s close (June 18). Several risk factors are lurking for the...